Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:47:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C8
0xc8a0…6c71
crypto · 1198 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$252 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$252 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$252
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1023 / 175
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1198 / 1198
History coverage8d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day285.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1198 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$52
7 days−$86
14 days−$252
30 days−$252
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$174
world 2% −$78
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 923 -0.2% -9.7% 86% 29% -10.6%
≤30d 1198 -0.2% -9.7% 85% 27% -11.7%
≤90d 1198 -0.2% -9.7% 85% 27% -11.7%
all 1198 -0.2% -9.7% 85% 27% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover285.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 27% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 7% -20.1%
15% -26.3% 5% -27.8%
20% -33.5% 3% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records