trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -12.1% | -20.5% | 30% | 30% | +8.1% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -12.1% | -20.5% | 30% | 30% | +8.1% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -12.1% | -20.5% | 30% | 30% | +8.1% |
| all | 18 | -9.5% | -18.1% | 44% | 33% | +5.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.1% | 33% | +5.5% |
| 10% | -25.9% | 28% | -4.6% |
| 15% | -33.1% | 22% | -13.9% |
| 20% | -39.6% | 17% | -22.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 67¢ | 64¢ | $50 | $47 | −$3 (-5%) |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 14¢ | 12¢ | $12 | $11 | −$1 (-11%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $22 | −$16 | -73% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $49 | +$43 | +86% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $3 | −$2 | -65% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $40 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $10 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $12 | +$6 | +54% |
| Major League Cricket: Texas Super Kings vs Mi New York | Jun 22 | $1 | $0 | +42% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June? | Jun 22 | $2 | $0 | -10% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | Jun 22 | $1 | $0 | -15% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | Feb 27 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 28 | $8 | +$1 | +19% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 27 | $3 | +$2 | +80% |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January | Jan 27 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech? | Jan 27 | $9 | +$3 | +32% |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week? | Jan 27 | $2 | $0 | +7% |
| Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game? | Jan 25 | $5 | −$2 | -48% |
| Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game? | Jan 25 | $1 | $0 | -47% |