Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:05:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C8
0xc8ac…bfd5
crypto · 897 markets active 2h ago
4.0score
+$282 +28%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$282 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$282
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses123 / 549
Open positions0
Markets (closed)672 / 897
History coverage57d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day18.6
Drawdown27%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 672 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$44
7 days+$56
14 days+$137
30 days+$278
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 16¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+525%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$6 +625%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$5 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$5 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +426%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$6 +614%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$9 +945%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$9 +945%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +529%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$7 +841%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$7 +685%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$282
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)+25.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 155 +34.1% +21.4% 19% 19% +25.4%
≤30d 563 +46.3% +32.3% 18% 18% +36.8%
≤90d 672 +38.4% +25.2% 18% 18% +24.7%
all 672 +38.4% +25.2% 18% 18% +24.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +25.2% 18% +24.7%
10% +13.2% 18% +12.7%
15% +2.3% 18% +1.8%
20% -7.8% 18% -8.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.25 · official $0.00 (match) · 1179 history records