trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 144 | -5.0% | -14.1% | 52% | 45% | -8.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.1% | 45% | -8.2% |
| 10% | -22.3% | 40% | -17.0% |
| 15% | -29.8% | 37% | -25.0% |
| 20% | -36.7% | 31% | -32.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 87¢ | 84¢ | $184 | $179 | −$5 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 15? | Nov 10 | $596 | +$12 | +2% |
| Pistons vs. 76ers | Nov 10 | $20 | −$9 | -45% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 09 | $20 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 05 | $569 | +$34 | +6% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | Nov 02 | $60 | +$11 | +18% |
| Dodgers vs. Blue Jays | Nov 01 | $25 | +$10 | +40% |
| Rockets vs. Thunder | Oct 22 | $440 | −$440 | -100% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Oct 22 | $20 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on Octobe | Oct 22 | $20 | −$1 | -4% |
| Texans vs. Seahawks | Oct 21 | $20 | +$12 | +59% |
| Jets vs. Flames | Oct 21 | $20 | +$14 | +72% |
| Buccaneers vs. Lions | Oct 21 | $20 | −$18 | -90% |
| Mariners vs. Blue Jays | Oct 21 | $120 | −$100 | -83% |
| Falcons vs. 49ers | Oct 20 | $20 | +$14 | +72% |
| Patriots vs. Titans | Oct 20 | $20 | +$6 | +32% |
| Saints vs. Bears | Oct 20 | $20 | +$9 | +45% |
| Colts vs. Chargers | Oct 20 | $20 | +$23 | +117% |
| Panthers vs. Jets | Oct 20 | $40 | +$37 | +92% |
| Rams vs. Jaguars | Oct 19 | $20 | +$13 | +64% |
| Mariners vs. Blue Jays | Oct 18 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | Oct 18 | $10 | −$6 | -59% |
| Brewers vs. Dodgers | Oct 18 | $20 | +$11 | +56% |
| Blue Jays vs. Mariners | Oct 18 | $41 | +$43 | +104% |
| Bruins vs. Golden Knights | Oct 17 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Blackhawks vs. Blues | Oct 16 | $20 | +$19 | +96% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1) | Oct 16 | $20 | +$8 | +38% |
| Flames vs. Utah | Oct 16 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Blue Jays vs. Mariners | Oct 16 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Trail Blazers | Oct 15 | $20 | +$10 | +48% |
| Dodgers vs. Brewers | Oct 15 | $20 | +$17 | +85% |
| Penguins vs. Ducks | Oct 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Steelers vs. Bengals | Oct 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Dodgers vs. Brewers | Oct 14 | $20 | +$14 | +70% |
| Mariners vs. Blue Jays | Oct 14 | $40 | +$27 | +68% |
| Avalanche vs. Sabres | Oct 14 | $20 | +$12 | +61% |
| Jets vs. Islanders | Oct 14 | $20 | +$17 | +85% |
| Bills vs. Falcons | Oct 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Utah vs. Blackhawks | Oct 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Panthers vs. Flyers | Oct 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Lightning vs. Bruins | Oct 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2025-10-13? | Oct 13 | $20 | +$15 | +75% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $190 on October 13? | Oct 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Broncos vs. Jets | Oct 13 | $20 | +$6 | +28% |
| Browns vs. Steelers | Oct 13 | $20 | +$8 | +41% |
| Cubs vs. Brewers | Oct 12 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Georgia vs. Auburn | Oct 12 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Phillies vs. Dodgers | Oct 10 | $20 | +$16 | +82% |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | Oct 10 | $40 | −$9 | -22% |
| Brewers vs. Cubs | Oct 09 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee | Oct 09 | $20 | +$17 | +85% |