Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:01:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C8
0xc8ec…1551
crypto · 167 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$731 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$731 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$731
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses43 / 124
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)167 / 167
History coverage99d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day6.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 167 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$39
7 days−$39
14 days−$52
30 days−$119
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$9 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$15 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$8 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 05 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 05 $6 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 05 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 15 $8 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 14 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 14 $5 +$6 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 14 $9 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 14 $21 −$7 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET May 14 $20 −$14 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 14 $23 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 14 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 14 $2 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET May 14 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET May 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 14 $7 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 10 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 10 $15 +$8 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 10 $7 −$7 -95%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) May 10 $6 +$24 +386%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET May 10 $13 −$6 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET May 10 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET May 10 $17 −$6 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET May 10 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET May 10 $14 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET May 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET May 10 $10 +$10 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET May 10 $40 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET May 10 $39 −$38 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET May 10 $21 +$29 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET May 10 $29 +$27 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET May 09 $41 −$15 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 09 $29 −$10 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET May 09 $26 −$7 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET May 09 $36 −$21 -58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$754
sports 0% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-39.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -67.0% -70.2% 14% 14% -46.7%
≤30d 29 -45.7% -50.9% 31% 24% -49.6%
≤90d 125 -34.4% -40.6% 28% 26% -40.8%
all 167 -33.5% -39.8% 26% 24% -41.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -39.8% 24% -41.8%
10% -45.6% 22% -47.3%
15% -50.8% 19% -52.4%
20% -55.6% 17% -57.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 693 history records