Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T18:35:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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C8 0xc8f5…017e crypto 1840 markets active 4d ago coverage 32d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 31d only
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2 (-0%) realized −$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate83%1623W / 343L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day58.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$126
7 days−$133
14 days−$132
30 days−$146
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 287 -45.5% -50.7% 47% 21% -50.0%
≤30d 1263 -11.5% -20.0% 79% 30% -19.8%
≤90d 1966 -7.9% -16.6% 83% 32% -16.5%
all 1966 -7.9% -16.6% 83% 32% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.6% 32% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 6% -24.5%
15% -31.9% 2% -31.8%
20% -38.6% 1% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
57% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -15% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.55 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses1623 / 343
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1966 / 1840
History coverage32d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day58.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1966 Trades
no open positions (330 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records