Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:03:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc904…1e9a
sports · 1105 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$4,399 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,399 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$53
Realized+$4,399
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses634 / 463
Whale WR (big bets)96%
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1097 / 1105
Avg bet$48
Trades / day10.1
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 8 History 1097 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$35
7 days−$147
14 days−$108
30 days−$114
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage ex-RUBY 67¢ 100¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+49%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Vitality 86¢ 86¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D GenOne 59¢ 72¢ $7 $8 +$2 (+23%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 67¢ 66¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 67¢ 64¢ $7 $6 −$0 (-5%)
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality - Game 4 Winner Bigetron by Vitality 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 37¢ 32¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-14%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage NRG Academy 49¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 5? Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Meta (META) close above $580 on June 10? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 10? Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 5? Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 79¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs fnatic 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Vance say "Nuclear" during Air Force Academy Address? No 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 5? Up 83¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5) PCIFIC 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on June 10? Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage ASTRAL 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on June 10? Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 10? Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $310-$315 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5? Yes 86¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality - Gam Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $9 +$1 +14%
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs For Fun Esports (BO1) - Nort Jun 11 $4 +$6 +165%
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $7 +$4 +54%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $8 +$2 +24%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on June 11? Jun 11 $9 +$2 +20%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 11? Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $9 +$2 +18%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $7 +$3 +39%
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $7 +$3 +39%
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $6 +$4 +67%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $355 on June 11? Jun 11 $7 +$3 +39%
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $7 +$3 +39%
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $8 +$2 +27%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on June 11? Jun 11 $8 +$2 +21%
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on June 11? Jun 11 $9 +$2 +18%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $235 on June 11? Jun 11 $8 +$2 +32%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 11? Jun 11 $8 +$2 +24%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $8 +$2 +30%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
Map Handicap: OXUJI (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5) Jun 11 $5 +$5 +90%
Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5) Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $8 +$2 +32%
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5) Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $8 +$2 +32%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs KOLESIE (+3.5) Jun 11 $5 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $8 +$3 +34%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID - Game 4 Winne Jun 11 $5 +$5 +90%
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $8 −$8 -99%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $4 +$6 +165%
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $9 +$1 +13%
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $9 +$1 +13%
Will Meta (META) close above $570 on June 10? Jun 10 $9 +$1 +12%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 10? Jun 10 $9 +$1 +14%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on June 10? Jun 10 $9 +$1 +10%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 on June 10? Jun 10 $9 +$1 +10%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on June 10? Jun 10 $9 +$1 +10%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $365 on June 10? Jun 10 $8 +$2 +27%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $8 −$8 -99%
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on June 10? Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Meta (META) close above $580 on June 10? Jun 10 $7 −$7 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 79% +$3,130
sports 16% +$1,391
politics 3% −$73
world 1% +$25
tech 1% −$82
finance 0% −$27
crypto 0% $0
weather 0% +$12
economics 0% +$22
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY GenOne 59¢ $7 1m
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 50¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 86¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 37¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $7 3h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality - Gam BUY Bigetron by Vitality 51¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 67¢ $7 4h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 37¢ $4 4h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY ex-RUBY 67¢ $7 7h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) BUY Natus Vincere 64¢ $6 16h
Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5) BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 35¢ $4 17h
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5) BUY PCIFIC 37¢ $4 19h
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner BUY HMBLE 37¢ $4 19h
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner BUY HMBLE 37¢ $4 19h
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs For Fun Esports (BO1) - Nort BUY For Fun Esports 37¢ $4 19h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 37¢ $4 20h
Map Handicap: OXUJI (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5) BUY Bebop 52¢ $5 21h
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 87¢ $9 21h
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 64¢ $7 21h
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 11? BUY Yes 80¢ $8 21h
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 84¢ $9 21h
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on June 11? BUY Yes 82¢ $8 21h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 75¢ $8 22h
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $235 on June 11? BUY Yes 75¢ $8 22h
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on June 11? BUY No 83¢ $9 22h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 75¢ $8 22h
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on June 11? BUY Yes 84¢ $9 22h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 37¢ $4 23h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs KOLESIE (+3.5) BUY KOLESIE 51¢ $5 23h
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 11? BUY No 92¢ $9 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 -24.1% -31.4% 52% 44% -24.3%
≤30d 499 -13.8% -22.1% 50% 38% -10.9%
≤90d 651 -7.7% -16.5% 47% 34% -13.2%
all 1097 +2.7% -7.1% 58% 44% -2.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.1% 44% -2.1%
10% -16.0% 23% -11.4%
15% -24.1% 19% -20.0%
20% -31.5% 15% -27.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $53.05 · official $53.05 (match) · 3215 history records