Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:06:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc904…3504
crypto · 116 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$49 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$49 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$49
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses53 / 59
Open positions4
Markets (closed)112 / 116
History coverage13d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day27.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 112 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$7
14 days−$49
30 days−$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? Yes 94¢ 96¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19? Yes 53¢ 59¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 0¢ 50¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +342%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +65%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $4 +$2 +49%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $20 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $3 $0 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $2 +$1 +26%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $2 $0 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $2 $0 +5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7? Jun 04 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-26.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 -14.8% -22.9% 48% 25% -13.0%
≤30d 112 -19.0% -26.7% 47% 29% -17.0%
≤90d 112 -19.0% -26.7% 47% 29% -17.0%
all 112 -19.0% -26.7% 47% 29% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.7% 29% -17.0%
10% ← realistic here -33.7% 23% -25.0%
15% -40.2% 19% -32.2%
20% -46.0% 13% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.51 · official $13.76 (match) · 376 history records