Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:45:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc908…02fc
crypto · 46 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,703 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,703 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,703
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses30 / 16
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Est. fees paid−$24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)46 / 46
History coverage19d
Avg bet$736
Trades / day6.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,508
7 days−$2,935
14 days−$1,754
30 days−$1,703
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Under 83¢ 0¢ $1,586 $0 −$1,586 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +146%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1,594 −$1,586 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $1,533 +$61 +4%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $1,410 +$8 +1%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $1,400 +$9 +1%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1,160 +$239 +21%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $981 +$180 +18%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Jun 11 $1,153 −$173 -15%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $1,085 +$13 +1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 10 $4,505 +$48 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 09 $514 −$10 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 09 $513 −$395 -77%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $1,797 −$439 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 09 $503 +$35 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 09 $506 +$101 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $1,017 −$349 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $508 −$429 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 09 $52 −$45 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 09 $101 −$39 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 09 $51 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 09 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 09 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 09 $503 +$38 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 09 $51 +$16 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 09 $26 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 09 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 09 $51 −$9 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $26 +$14 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 09 $513 +$50 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 09 $26 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 09 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 09 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? Jun 09 $238 −$238 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 09 $51 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 09 $25 +$8 +33%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $2,301 +$126 +6%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 05 $2,280 +$31 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $1,988 +$288 +14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $363 +$14 +4%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? Jun 01 $1,879 +$118 +6%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 31 $1,512 +$603 +40%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25? May 25 $1,461 +$50 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 39% −$1,018
world 37% +$403
tech 9% +$69
sports 8% −$1,347
finance 4% +$9
other 3% +$180
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 83¢ $1,594 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 96¢ $1,533 27h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? SELL Yes 94¢ $1,418 30h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY Yes 93¢ $1,410 32h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 100¢ $1,410 32h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 99¢ $1,400 33h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 87¢ $1,399 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 71¢ $1,160 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,161 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 84¢ $981 2d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL No 71¢ $980 2d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY No 83¢ $1,153 3d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 83¢ $1,098 3d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 82¢ $1,085 3d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $46 3d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $58 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $504 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $514 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $118 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $513 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? SELL Yes 43¢ $1,359 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 54¢ $1,479 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 54¢ $305 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $538 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -14.3% -22.4% 59% 38% -21.5%
≤30d 46 -10.5% -19.0% 65% 37% -14.1%
≤90d 46 -10.5% -19.0% 65% 37% -14.1%
all 46 -10.5% -19.0% 65% 37% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.0% 37% -14.1%
10% -26.7% 13% -22.3%
15% -33.8% 9% -29.8%
20% -40.3% 4% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 154 history records