Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T00:15:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
C9 0xc910…8bbc sports 78 markets active 19h ago coverage 27d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$20 (+0%) realized +$20 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate46%36W / 42L
Whale WR50%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$217per market
Trades / day5.0pace
Fees−$259est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$155now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$61
7 days−$1,301
14 days−$506
30 days−$172
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$172
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -39.4% -45.2% 26% 26% -40.0%
≤30d 78 -2.2% -11.5% 46% 45% -10.5%
≤90d 78 -2.2% -11.5% 46% 45% -10.5%
all 78 -2.2% -11.5% 46% 45% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.5% 45% -10.5%
10% -20.0% 45% -19.0%
15% -27.7% 41% -26.8%
20% -34.8% 35% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 50% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early +6% → late -11% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$182 vs −$160 · ×1.14 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$155
Realized+$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses36 / 42
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$259
Open positions0
Markets (closed)78 / 78
History coverage27d
Avg bet$217
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 78 Trades
no open positions (35 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - DraculaN Group B Jun 23 $832 −$58 -7%
Counter-Strike: Coalesce vs Millennium Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 22 $160 −$3 -2%
Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5) Jun 21 $102 −$100 -98%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qu Jun 21 $202 +$120 +59%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK - Map 1 Winner Jun 20 $85 +$73 +86%
Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz - Game 2 Winner Jun 19 $506 +$286 +56%
Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz - Game 1 Winner Jun 19 $102 −$100 -98%
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - The International South A Jun 19 $64 +$106 +165%
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - The Inter Jun 19 $101 −$100 -99%
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner Jun 18 $410 −$403 -98%
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+1.5) Jun 18 $422 −$414 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffs Jun 18 $110 −$109 -99%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 17 $328 −$244 -74%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl Jun 17 $96 +$90 +93%
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $90 −$88 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $45 −$44 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $46 −$45 -98%
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $194 −$190 -98%
Map Handicap: UW (-1.5) vs KRÜ Blaze (+1.5) Jun 17 $79 −$77 -98%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Jun 16 $106 +$61 +57%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $173 −$170 -98%
Game Handicap: Game Master (-1.5) vs Grey Trac (+1.5) Jun 16 $203 −$200 -98%
Dota 2: Mentality Monster vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Jun 16 $228 +$137 +60%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters La Jun 15 $411 +$448 +109%
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $203 +$181 +89%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $180 +$68 +38%
Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+2.5) Jun 14 $224 −$220 -98%
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $38 −$37 -98%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Jun 14 $103 −$101 -98%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 12 $1,290 −$209 -16%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $148 +$156 +105%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $334 +$235 +70%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $101 +$32 +32%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $219 −$215 -98%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) Jun 11 $632 +$435 +69%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $263 +$174 +66%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $104 +$47 +46%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $203 +$273 +134%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $101 +$80 +79%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $428 −$420 -98%
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - United21 Playof Jun 10 $101 +$40 +40%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $528 +$220 +42%
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea Jun 09 $187 +$49 +26%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 09 $560 −$93 -17%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $95 +$205 +216%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Ding Cuts (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Grou Jun 08 $233 −$47 -20%
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO1) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 08 $97 −$95 -98%
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs STEP (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 08 $309 −$305 -99%
Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 07 $102 +$221 +216%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $381 +$409 +107%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - DraculaN Group B BUY K27 53¢ $832 19h
Counter-Strike: Coalesce vs Millennium Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Millennium Esports 51¢ $160 39h
Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5) BUY Rune Eaters 49¢ $102 2d
Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qu SELL OG 100¢ $322 2d
Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qu BUY OG 62¢ $202 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Nemesis 53¢ $85 3d
Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz - Game 2 Winner SELL Execration 100¢ $791 4d
Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz - Game 2 Winner BUY Execration 63¢ $506 4d
Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz - Game 1 Winner BUY Carstensz 44¢ $102 4d
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - The Inter BUY Yangon Galacticos 72¢ $101 4d
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - The International South A BUY Amaru Gaming 37¢ $64 4d
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner BUY Yakult Brothers 41¢ $208 5d
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner BUY Yakult Brothers 42¢ $202 5d
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+1.5) BUY T1 Academy 37¢ $68 5d
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+1.5) BUY T1 Academy 37¢ $354 5d
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffs BUY T1 Academy 60¢ $110 5d
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se SELL INOX Division 100¢ $119 6d
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY INOX Division 66¢ $79 6d
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl SELL Nuclear TigeRES 100¢ $186 6d
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl BUY Nuclear TigeRES 51¢ $96 6d
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY Alpha Gaming 31¢ $90 6d
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 26¢ $45 6d
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 39¢ $46 6d
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner BUY Game Master 35¢ $194 6d
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY SPARTA 30¢ $191 6d
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY SPARTA 29¢ $58 6d
Map Handicap: UW (-1.5) vs KRÜ Blaze (+1.5) BUY KRÜ Blaze 23¢ $79 6d
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch BUY Nuclear TigeRES 63¢ $106 7d
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Sashi Esport 49¢ $173 7d
Game Handicap: Game Master (-1.5) vs Grey Trac (+1.5) BUY Grey Trac 45¢ $203 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $154.90 · official $154.90 (match) · 150 history records