Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:55:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc919…d1dd
sports · 423 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$58 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$55 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$934
Realized−$55
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses200 / 167
Est. fees paid−$27
Open positions56
Markets (closed)367 / 423
History coverage8d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day141.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 56 History 367 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$181
14 days−$55
30 days−$55
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $198 $197 −$0 (-0%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $151 $151 +$1 (+0%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? No 97¢ 97¢ $53 $53 −$0 (-0%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 82¢ $34 $33 −$1 (-2%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? No 83¢ 82¢ $31 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? No 77¢ 76¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-0%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? No 96¢ 96¢ $25 $24 −$0 (-0%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 93¢ 94¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? No 94¢ 93¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? No 82¢ 81¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? No 96¢ 96¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-0%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? No 82¢ 84¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+2%)
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? No 90¢ 90¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+1%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? No 41¢ 46¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+11%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 56¢ 56¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 75¢ 74¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? No 33¢ 34¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? No 79¢ 78¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? Yes 88¢ 90¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? No 41¢ 36¢ $11 $10 −$1 (-11%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 42¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? No 91¢ 90¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 41¢ 38¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-7%)
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Emma Raducanu 79¢ 78¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Wuning: Zongyu Li vs Mai Hontama Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $5 +$7 +134%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$4 +67%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $10 +$18 +173%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $14 +$2 +14%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $15 −$4 -28%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $200 −$6 -3%
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $9 −$8 -98%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $45 −$10 -22%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Will CD La Serena win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $102 +$4 +4%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 −$5 -49%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $5 +$3 +66%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $6 +$4 +67%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $6 +$12 +216%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $8 +$7 +86%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $20 +$1 +5%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $27 −$10 -38%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $85 +$62 +73%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $48 −$7 -14%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $5 +$3 +53%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) Jun 12 $6 +$6 +97%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 12 $6 +$12 +197%
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) Jun 12 $9 $0 -1%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $94 −$13 -14%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $35 −$7 -20%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $8 −$7 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $30 −$30 -99%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $47 +$1 +3%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 11 $40 −$1 -3%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz Jun 11 $6 +$3 +62%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Jun 11 $9 −$9 -98%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Junhan Zhang Jun 11 $26 −$6 -23%
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Mai Hontama Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 68% +$136
sports 31% −$198
world 1% +$6
crypto 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $5 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $6 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 55¢ $10 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 93¢ $5 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 93¢ $5 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 93¢ $5 1h
ITF Wuning: Zongyu Li vs Mai Hontama BUY Mai Hontama 44¢ $5 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $5 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Curaçao 53¢ $5 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 34¢ $5 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $5 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $5 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 55¢ $10 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $5 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $5 2h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 77¢ $8 2h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 42¢ $5 2h
Spread: Germany (-2.5) BUY Curaçao 33¢ $6 2h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 45¢ $5 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm SELL Golden State Valkyries 92¢ $6 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $5 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 22¢ $5 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $5 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 4h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 96¢ $6 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 24¢ $9 4h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Athletics 59¢ $5 4h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 20¢ $8 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 37¢ $6 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 304 +2.2% -7.6% 61% 41% -13.1%
≤30d 367 -1.9% -11.2% 54% 38% -10.5%
≤90d 367 -1.9% -11.2% 54% 38% -10.5%
all 367 -1.9% -11.2% 54% 38% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover141.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 38% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 31% -19.0%
15% -27.5% 26% -26.8%
20% -34.6% 22% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $934.13 · official $934.14 (match) · 1467 history records