Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T03:46:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C9 0xc91d…52dc crypto 42 markets active 2h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (109 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$86 (-6%) realized −$86 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -28% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -44% what you keep after slip
Net edge-44%after slip
Net WR26%break-even
Win rate33%14W / 28L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$34per market
Trades / day108.7pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$527
other 1% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (109 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-34.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -27.5% -34.4% 33% 26% -45.5%
≤30d 42 -27.5% -34.4% 33% 26% -45.5%
≤90d 42 -27.5% -34.4% 33% 26% -45.5%
all 42 -27.5% -34.4% 33% 26% -45.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover108.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.4% 26% -45.5%
10% ← realistic here -40.6% 26% -50.7%
15% -46.4% 21% -55.5%
20% -51.6% 21% -59.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 28% · top 2 49% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -40% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
21% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -27% · $-wt -40% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -21% → late -34% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$16 vs −$27 · ×0.6 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.3 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$86
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses14 / 28
Open positions0
Markets (closed)42 / 42
History coverage2d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day108.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 42 Trades
no open positions (17 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 28 $8 +$5 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 28 $185 −$175 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 28 $336 −$336 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 28 $279 +$64 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 26 $19 −$5 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 26 $45 −$3 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 26 $23 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 26 $20 −$20 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 26 $36 −$18 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 26 $18 +$15 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$6 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 26 $39 +$29 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 26 $24 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 26 $35 −$14 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 26 $30 −$17 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 26 $11 −$10 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 26 $40 −$14 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 26 $56 −$10 -17%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 25 $11 −$10 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 25 $10 +$17 +166%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 25 $10 +$20 +197%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 25 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$9 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 25 $15 −$14 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 25 $3 +$2 +86%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 25 $19 +$49 +256%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 25 $15 +$19 +125%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 25 $19 −$9 -47%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 25 $3 +$2 +83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $4 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $8 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $5 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $2 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 300 history records