Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:41:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc925…6d24
sports · 68 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,274 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,350 · open −$42
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$1,160
Realized+$1,350
Unrealized−$42
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses51 / 34
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Est. fees paid−$349
Open positions17
Markets (closed)85 / 68
History coverage1d
Avg bet$440
Trades / day3055.5
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 17 History 85 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,350
7 days+$1,350
14 days+$1,350
30 days+$1,350
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 62¢ 69¢ $297 $335 +$38 (+13%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 74¢ 77¢ $201 $209 +$8 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 33¢ 30¢ $172 $157 −$14 (-8%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 93¢ 100¢ $79 $85 +$6 (+8%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 45¢ 44¢ $81 $81 −$0 (-0%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 25¢ 23¢ $81 $75 −$6 (-8%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 55¢ 56¢ $68 $69 +$1 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage GenOne 62¢ 84¢ $47 $64 +$17 (+36%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%? Yes 63¢ 99¢ $13 $20 +$7 (+56%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Heretics 39¢ 28¢ $21 $15 −$6 (-29%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 58¢ 49¢ $12 $10 −$2 (-16%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 46¢ 100¢ $4 $9 +$5 (+117%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage SPARTA 18¢ 16¢ $9 $8 −$2 (-16%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Misa Esports 90¢ 100¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+11%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No 71¢ 50¢ $7 $5 −$2 (-29%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes 30¢ 28¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-8%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 83¢ 81¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C WLGaming Esports $3 $2 −$1 (-43%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Paper Rex 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Kimmer Coppejans 58¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 28¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming Youth Team $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 23¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Forsaken 25¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Alexandra Eala 25¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 12 $2 +$84 +3868%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 12 $18 +$27 +152%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 12 $29 −$69 -239%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 12 $18 −$32 -182%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $9 −$1 -12%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group S Jun 12 $8 +$26 +305%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 12 $14 −$63 -466%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 Jun 12 $13 −$9 -66%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 W Jun 12 $26 +$2 +7%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 12 $10 +$12 +116%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $16 +$175 +1129%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $36 +$42 +115%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$21 +396%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 12 $18 −$16 -92%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $9 −$21 -240%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 12 $1 +$107 +7535%
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 12 $11 +$11 +98%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 12 $0 +$85 +17041%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $11 −$39 -361%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone Jun 12 $2 +$20 +1200%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 12 $6 +$4 +67%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 12 $29 −$68 -236%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 12 $12 −$48 -392%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 12 $4 +$66 +1808%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win Jun 12 $1 +$10 +634%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $624 +$11 +2%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $768 +$19 +2%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $305 +$5 +2%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $329 +$62 +19%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $281 +$25 +9%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $96 +$37 +38%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,306 +$39 +3%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $259 +$24 +9%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,530 +$45 +3%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $70 −$14 -20%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $175 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $516 −$4 -1%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $1,292 +$5 +0%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $320 −$71 -22%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $461 −$105 -23%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $72 +$3 +4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $2,455 +$414 +17%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $28 −$2 -6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $69 +$44 +64%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $509 +$22 +4%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $53 −$16 -31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$1,034
other 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 25¢ $6 0m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 26¢ $6 1m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 73¢ $1 1m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 22¢ $6 1m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 73¢ $17 1m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 34¢ $3 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 34¢ $1 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 63¢ $16 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 66¢ $16 3m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 25¢ $6 5m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $4 5m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 80¢ $20 6m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $7 6m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 14¢ $4 6m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $8 6m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 65¢ $16 6m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 64¢ $16 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 24¢ $6 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $1 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $7 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 22¢ $6 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 76¢ $14 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 76¢ $5 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 76¢ $19 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 70¢ $18 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 74¢ $10 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 74¢ $8 9m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 74¢ $8 9m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 74¢ $10 9m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 22¢ $6 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+243.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 +279.8% +243.6% 60% 38% -3.7%
≤30d 85 +279.8% +243.6% 60% 38% -3.7%
≤90d 85 +279.8% +243.6% 60% 38% -3.7%
all 85 +279.8% +243.6% 60% 38% -3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3055.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +243.6% 38% -3.7%
10% ← realistic here +210.8% 36% -12.9%
15% +180.7% 35% -21.3%
20% +153.2% 35% -29.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,159.74 · official $1,173.58 · 3500 history records