Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T11:52:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C9 0xc934…6252 crypto 654 markets active 1h ago coverage 61d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 61d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$108 (-1%) realized −$108 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate57%375W / 279L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day46.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$480
7 days−$480
14 days−$480
30 days−$480
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$618
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 142 -0.6% -10.1% 61% 56% -14.8%
≤30d 142 -0.6% -10.1% 61% 56% -14.8%
≤90d 654 -2.6% -11.8% 57% 56% -13.8%
all 654 -2.6% -11.8% 57% 56% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover46.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 56% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 52% -22.1%
15% -28.0% 43% -29.6%
20% -35.0% 34% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -8% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$13 · ×0.62 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

61d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$108
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses375 / 279
Open positions0
Markets (closed)654 / 654
History coverage61d ⚠
Avg bet$20
Trades / day46.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 654 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 24 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 24 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 24 $89 −$72 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 24 $108 −$104 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 24 $51 +$23 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 24 $17 +$7 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 24 $47 −$35 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 24 $72 +$24 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 24 $73 −$19 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 24 $14 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 24 $41 −$13 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 24 $39 −$6 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 24 $52 +$13 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$9 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 24 $22 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 24 $8 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 24 $48 −$23 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 24 $6 −$4 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 24 $52 +$21 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 24 $24 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 24 $28 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 24 $25 +$11 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 24 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 24 $118 −$93 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 24 $148 +$49 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 24 $100 +$33 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 24 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 24 $23 −$9 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 24 $330 −$316 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 24 $12 +$6 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 24 $313 +$124 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 24 $55 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 24 $144 +$51 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 24 $13 +$7 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 24 $68 +$24 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 24 $50 −$6 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 24 $106 −$88 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 24 $68 −$21 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 24 $144 +$53 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 24 $110 +$48 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 24 $112 +$37 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 24 $83 +$23 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 24 $113 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 24 $6 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 24 $135 −$74 -55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records