Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:38:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc935…ac71
crypto · 246 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$169 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$186 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$98
Realized+$186
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses99 / 146
Open positions1
Markets (closed)245 / 246
History coverage12d
Avg bet$84
Trades / day112.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 245 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,531
7 days+$488
14 days+$186
30 days+$186
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 12¢ 10¢ $112 $95 −$17 (-15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 75¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 77¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $74 −$66 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $269 +$701 +260%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $75 +$67 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $116 +$148 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $117 +$162 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $74 +$34 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $255 +$243 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $333 +$676 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $226 +$26 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $255 −$95 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $255 −$131 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $74 −$72 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $330 −$318 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $106 +$111 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $260 +$314 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $75 +$115 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $338 −$318 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $333 −$234 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $181 +$188 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $74 −$72 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $278 +$466 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $149 +$143 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $126 −$122 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $279 −$12 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $205 −$108 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $75 +$123 +164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $205 −$194 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $275 +$263 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $75 −$72 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $73 +$21 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $151 −$144 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $226 −$216 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $75 −$72 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $151 +$285 +189%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$40 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $191 +$160 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $108 −$102 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $258 −$246 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $85 −$80 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$13 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $82 +$33 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $83 +$53 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $83 +$67 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $227 −$216 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $227 +$137 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$21 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$7 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$169
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $22 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $14 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $38 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $21 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $12 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $37 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $37 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $314 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $116 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $202 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $38 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $38 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $25 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $35 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $13 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $15 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $6 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $21 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $8 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $38 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $30 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $138 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $37 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $37 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+19.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 161 +31.7% +19.2% 47% 45% -5.0%
≤30d 245 +32.1% +19.5% 40% 39% -9.6%
≤90d 245 +32.1% +19.5% 40% 39% -9.6%
all 245 +32.1% +19.5% 40% 39% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover112.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +19.5% 39% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here +8.1% 35% -18.2%
15% -2.4% 33% -26.1%
20% -11.9% 29% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $98.24 · official $76.76 · 1463 history records