trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | No | 28¢ | 1¢ | $444 | $20 | −$424 (-95%) |
| Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants | Chicago Cubs | 47¢ | 48¢ | $6 | $6 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | Jun 05 | $102 | +$101 | +99% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? | Jun 05 | $62 | −$62 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo | Jun 05 | $37 | −$37 | -100% |
| Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Jun 04 | $8 | $0 | -2% |
| Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | Jun 04 | $115 | +$67 | +58% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | -9.0% | -17.7% | 40% | 40% | +9.7% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -9.0% | -17.7% | 40% | 40% | +9.7% |
| all | 5 | -9.0% | -17.7% | 40% | 40% | +9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.7% | 40% | +9.7% |
| 10% | -25.6% | 40% | -0.8% |
| 15% | -32.8% | 40% | -10.4% |
| 20% | -39.4% | 40% | -19.2% |