Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc93b…3d2e
crypto · 71 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$25 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$27
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses39 / 30
Open positions2
Markets (closed)69 / 71
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day71.0
Drawdown28%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$27
14 days+$27
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 49¢ 36¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-26%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+0.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 +11.0% +0.4% 57% 57% +10.5%
≤30d 69 +11.0% +0.4% 57% 57% +10.5%
≤90d 69 +11.0% +0.4% 57% 57% +10.5%
all 69 +11.0% +0.4% 57% 57% +10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover71.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.4% 57% +10.5%
10% ← realistic here -9.2% 57% -0.1%
15% -18.0% 57% -9.8%
20% -26.0% 57% -18.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.47 · official $1.67 (match) · 110 history records