Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:25:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C9 0xc93d…852c crypto 1195 markets active 2d ago coverage 25d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d only
✗ bot/MM pace (109 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$510 (+5%) realized +$510 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -12% what you keep after slip
Net edge-12%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate52%664W / 624L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day109.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$154
7 days−$90
14 days−$45
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$117
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (109 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)+3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 323 +29.7% +17.3% 48% 48% -10.8%
≤30d 1288 +14.1% +3.2% 52% 48% -9.0%
≤90d 1288 +14.1% +3.2% 52% 48% -9.0%
all 1288 +14.1% +3.2% 52% 48% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover109.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.2% 48% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -6.7% 44% -17.7%
15% -15.7% 40% -25.6%
20% -24.0% 35% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +14% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +12% → late +16% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$6 · ×0.93 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$510
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses664 / 624
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1288 / 1195
History coverage25d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day109.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1288 Trades
no open positions (494 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 18 $0 +$5 +948%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 18 $0 −$6 -3416%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 18 $0 −$1 -215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 18 $0 −$3 -3818%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 18 $0 −$1 -133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 18 $0 −$5 -1504%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$5 -877%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 18 $0 −$2 -387%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$3 -160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 18 $0 +$8 +7667%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $0 +$1 +344%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 18 $0 +$1 +379%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$5 -105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $0 −$5 -1495%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 18 $0 +$3 +864%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 18 $0 −$2 -378%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 +$1 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 18 $0 −$1 -596%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 18 $0 +$2 +788%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$7 -116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 18 $0 +$1 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 18 $0 −$1 -672%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 18 $0 −$1 -146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 18 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 18 $0 −$3 -858%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 +$7 +1248%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$6 -158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -115%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records