Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc944…1686
weather · 523 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,091 +21%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,069 · open +$23
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY weather specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$647
Realized+$1,069
Unrealized+$23
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses141 / 364
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions25
Markets (closed)505 / 523
History coverage55d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day55.6
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 25 History 505 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$120
14 days+$159
30 days−$263
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? No 37¢ 35¢ $217 $205 −$13 (-6%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $88 $108 +$20 (+23%)
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No 52¢ 64¢ $83 $102 +$19 (+22%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Yes 13¢ 30¢ $41 $93 +$52 (+127%)
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 79¢ 80¢ $32 $32 +$0 (+1%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $31 $32 +$1 (+3%)
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 96¢ 97¢ $29 $29 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12? Yes 3¢ 37¢ $2 $25 +$23 (+1317%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 12? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+44%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+38%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 12? Yes 5¢ 2¢ $8 $3 −$5 (-65%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on June 12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-63%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $60 $1 −$59 (-98%)
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 6¢ 10¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+58%)
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+47%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? Yes 9¢ 68¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+642%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-98%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-95%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 12? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 12? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 12? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on June 12? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 12? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $64 +$106 +164%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $18 −$18 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $8 −$7 -95%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? Jun 11 $12 −$12 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 +$10 +317%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 11? Jun 11 $40 −$26 -66%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 11? Jun 11 $0 $0 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 11? Jun 11 $7 −$7 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 10? Jun 11 $24 +$49 +208%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 11? Jun 10 $8 −$8 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 11? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 11? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 11? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $16 −$16 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $44 −$24 -55%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 10? Jun 10 $16 −$6 -36%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10? Jun 10 $84 −$21 -24%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10? Jun 10 $33 +$17 +52%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 10? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -95%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 10? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 10? Jun 10 $6 −$6 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on June 9? Jun 09 $23 +$55 +242%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 10? Jun 09 $7 −$7 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 9? Jun 09 $23 −$22 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 10? Jun 09 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9? Jun 09 $21 +$36 +170%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9? Jun 09 $13 −$12 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 9? Jun 09 $7 −$7 -96%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9? Jun 09 $22 +$8 +37%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 9? Jun 09 $58 +$80 +138%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1 $0 -26%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $5 −$3 -59%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 9? Jun 09 $17 +$15 +89%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $4 −$4 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 8? Jun 09 $1 +$5 +525%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 8? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 8? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 8? Jun 08 $13 +$37 +284%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 8? Jun 08 $1 +$7 +458%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 8? Jun 08 $20 −$19 -97%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 8? Jun 08 $17 −$17 -97%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 8? Jun 08 $15 −$14 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 87% +$1,087
other 11% +$63
sports 1% −$57
crypto 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 29m
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 29m
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 30m
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 30m
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 30m
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 30m
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 30m
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 30m
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 30m
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 32m
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $3 32m
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 32m
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 36m
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 37m
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 39m
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 13¢ $13 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 13¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 15¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 14¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 13¢ $14 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12? BUY Yes 9¢ $8 2h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 2h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY No 83¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+23.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 -14.7% -22.8% 27% 27% +7.3%
≤30d 367 -22.8% -30.1% 19% 17% -16.2%
≤90d 505 +36.1% +23.2% 28% 25% +7.4%
all 505 +36.1% +23.2% 28% 25% +7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +23.2% 25% +7.4%
10% ← realistic here +11.4% 23% -2.9%
15% +0.6% 22% -12.3%
20% -9.2% 21% -20.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $647.00 · official $646.68 (match) · 3500 history records