Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T20:23:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C9 0xc94e…43a0 crypto 909 markets active 2d ago coverage 18d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 18d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (164 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$4,712 (-49%) realized −$4,712 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate59%539W / 370L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day163.7pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 18d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$555
world 1% −$19
other 1% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (164 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 211 -9.6% -18.2% 70% 44% -22.3%
≤30d 909 -7.6% -16.4% 59% 43% -15.0%
≤90d 909 -7.6% -16.4% 59% 43% -15.0%
all 909 -7.6% -16.4% 59% 43% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover163.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 43% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 28% -23.2%
15% -31.7% 13% -30.6%
20% -38.4% 8% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
26% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.48 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

18d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,712
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses539 / 370
Open positions0
Markets (closed)909 / 909
History coverage18d ⚠
Avg bet$11
Trades / day163.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 909 Trades
no open positions (14 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$4 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +22%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$4 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +30%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$15 +142%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +30%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 16 $18 −$17 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $0 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $8 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $6 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $8 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records