trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -31.6% | -38.1% | 33% | 33% | -56.1% |
| all | 47 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 49% | 45% | -32.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.2% | 45% | -32.3% |
| 10% | -13.4% | 45% | -38.8% |
| 15% | -21.8% | 43% | -44.7% |
| 20% | -29.4% | 43% | -50.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 50¢ | 50¢ | $55 | $54 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | May 29 | $63 | −$62 | -98% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins | May 20 | $144 | −$142 | -98% |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers | May 17 | $63 | +$66 | +105% |
| Celtics vs. Warriors | Feb 20 | $570 | +$430 | +75% |
| Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes | Feb 18 | $241 | +$322 | +134% |
| Cavaliers vs. Nuggets | Feb 08 | $244 | −$244 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Raptors | Feb 05 | $28 | +$22 | +82% |
| Hawks vs. Grizzlies | Jan 21 | $346 | −$346 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Pacers | Jan 14 | $261 | −$261 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Wizards | Jan 02 | $550 | −$550 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Mavericks | Jan 02 | $319 | +$261 | +82% |
| 76ers vs. Grizzlies | Dec 30 | $332 | −$332 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Dec 25 | $221 | −$221 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Jazz | Dec 25 | $99 | +$71 | +72% |
| Wizards vs. Hornets | Dec 23 | $46 | −$46 | -100% |
| 49ers vs. Colts | Dec 22 | $238 | −$238 | -100% |
| Falcons vs. Cardinals | Dec 22 | $217 | +$163 | +75% |
| Canucks vs. Rangers | Dec 16 | $396 | −$396 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Magic | Dec 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. 76ers | Dec 13 | $29 | +$21 | +72% |
| Pistons vs. Celtics | Nov 26 | $174 | −$174 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Kings | Nov 25 | $7 | +$23 | +354% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Nov 25 | $98 | −$98 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Nov 24 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Steelers vs. Bears | Nov 23 | $44 | −$44 | -100% |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | Nov 23 | $58 | −$58 | -100% |
| Minnesota vs. Northwestern | Nov 23 | $128 | +$72 | +56% |
| Missouri vs. Oklahoma | Nov 22 | $46 | −$46 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Texans | Nov 22 | $20 | +$50 | +245% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20? | Nov 20 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Magic | Nov 19 | $60 | +$90 | +150% |
| Grizzlies vs. Spurs | Nov 18 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Raptors | Nov 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 16? | Nov 17 | $300 | +$3 | +1% |
| Arizona vs. Cincinnati | Nov 16 | $46 | +$94 | +203% |
| UTEP vs. Missouri State | Nov 15 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Spurs | Nov 15 | $62 | +$78 | +127% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Nov 14 | $150 | −$15 | -10% |
| Magic vs. Knicks | Nov 14 | $14 | +$23 | +170% |
| Pacers vs. Jazz | Nov 12 | $22 | +$28 | +122% |
| Capitals vs. Hurricanes | Nov 12 | $8 | +$12 | +144% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Nov 11 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Magic | Nov 11 | $82 | +$68 | +82% |
| Patriots vs. Buccaneers | Nov 10 | $34 | +$46 | +133% |
| Bowling vs. Eastern Michigan | Nov 09 | $28 | +$22 | +75% |
| Raiders vs. Broncos | Nov 07 | $20 | +$5 | +24% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 6? | Nov 06 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY Chicago White Sox | 50¢ | $55 | 1h |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY Minnesota Twins | 46¢ | $63 | 24d |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins | BUY Miami Marlins | 38¢ | $144 | 33d |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY Detroit Tigers | 48¢ | $63 | 38d |
| Celtics vs. Warriors | BUY Celtics | 57¢ | $570 | 124d |
| Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes | BUY Ohio State Buckeyes | 43¢ | $241 | 125d |
| Cavaliers vs. Nuggets | BUY Nuggets | 53¢ | $244 | 134d |
| Timberwolves vs. Raptors | BUY Timberwolves | 55¢ | $28 | 138d |
| Hawks vs. Grizzlies | BUY Grizzlies | 54¢ | $346 | 152d |
| Raptors vs. Pacers | BUY Pacers | 45¢ | $261 | 159d |
| Nets vs. Wizards | BUY Nets | 50¢ | $550 | 171d |
| 76ers vs. Mavericks | BUY 76ers | 55¢ | $319 | 172d |
| 76ers vs. Grizzlies | BUY Grizzlies | 51¢ | $332 | 174d |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | BUY Timberwolves | 47¢ | $221 | 179d |
| Grizzlies vs. Jazz | BUY Grizzlies | 58¢ | $99 | 181d |
| Wizards vs. Hornets | BUY Wizards | 34¢ | $46 | 181d |
| 49ers vs. Colts | BUY Colts | 33¢ | $238 | 182d |
| Falcons vs. Cardinals | BUY Falcons | 57¢ | $217 | 183d |
| Canucks vs. Rangers | BUY Rangers | 55¢ | $396 | 188d |
| Knicks vs. Magic | BUY Magic | 36¢ | $50 | 191d |
| Warriors vs. 76ers | BUY 76ers | 58¢ | $29 | 200d |
| Pistons vs. Celtics | BUY Pistons | 58¢ | $174 | 208d |
| Magic vs. 76ers | BUY 76ers | 39¢ | $98 | 209d |
| Timberwolves vs. Kings | BUY Kings | 22¢ | $7 | 210d |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | BUY Pacers | 21¢ | $38 | 210d |
| Steelers vs. Bears | BUY Steelers | 44¢ | $44 | 211d |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | BUY Colts | 36¢ | $58 | 211d |
| Minnesota vs. Northwestern | BUY Northwestern | 64¢ | $128 | 212d |
| Missouri vs. Oklahoma | BUY Missouri | 31¢ | $46 | 212d |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20? | BUY Yes | 91¢ | $50 | 214d |