trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | -23.4% | -30.7% | 32% | 32% | -18.4% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -23.4% | -30.7% | 32% | 32% | -18.4% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -23.4% | -30.7% | 32% | 32% | -18.4% |
| all | 24 | -25.0% | -32.1% | 29% | 29% | -21.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.1% | 29% | -21.3% |
| 10% | -38.6% | 29% | -28.8% |
| 15% | -44.6% | 21% | -35.7% |
| 20% | -50.0% | 17% | -42.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 41¢ | 40¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 60¢ | 80¢ | $60 | $80 | +$20 (+32%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $71 | −$70 | -99% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $603 | +$137 | +23% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $202 | +$137 | +67% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$25 | +50% |
| France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5 | Jun 16 | $103 | −$53 | -52% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $20 | −$2 | -9% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5 | Jun 16 | $91 | −$90 | -99% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $132 | −$130 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5 | Jun 15 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $734 | +$166 | +23% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $111 | −$24 | -22% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5 | Jun 15 | $71 | −$34 | -47% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $51 | +$127 | +250% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 | Jun 14 | $51 | +$110 | +216% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $705 | −$300 | -42% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $61 | −$60 | -99% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $51 | +$68 | +134% |
| Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $159 | −$134 | -84% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Oct 30 | $159 | $0 | -0% |