trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 33% | 0% | -8.4% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 53% | 24% | -8.1% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -5.7% | -14.7% | 50% | 20% | -8.3% |
| all | 21 | -5.1% | -14.1% | 52% | 19% | -8.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.1% | 19% | -8.3% |
| 10% | -22.3% | 5% | -17.1% |
| 15% | -29.8% | 5% | -25.1% |
| 20% | -36.7% | 5% | -32.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 83¢ | 82¢ | $110 | $110 | −$1 (-1%) |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 82¢ | 81¢ | $82 | $81 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $66 | $65 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $1 | $0 | -15% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 28 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 28 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 28 | $71 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 28 | $77 | +$7 | +9% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Jun 28 | $56 | −$4 | -7% |
| GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Jun 15 | $3 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -91% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $69 | −$8 | -12% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $56 | +$9 | +15% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 15 | $102 | +$1 | +1% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +10% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +13% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $2 | +$3 | +144% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 15 | $9 | +$1 | +17% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | May 23 | $196 | +$5 | +3% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 10AM ET | Feb 27 | $2 | $0 | +8% |