Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:23:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc97b…47e5
other · 123 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$82,565 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$34,883 · open +$35,244
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$922,989
Realized+$34,883
Unrealized+$35,244
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses35 / 12
Whale WR (big bets)92%
Open positions83
Markets (closed)47 / 123
History coverage47d
Avg bet$9,135
Trades / day71.8
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit54%
Chart Positions 83 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,113
7 days+$2,282
14 days+$11,717
30 days+$25,545
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No 94¢ 99¢ $117,153 $122,680 +$5,527 (+5%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No 95¢ 99¢ $116,540 $121,724 +$5,184 (+4%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No 97¢ 98¢ $70,252 $71,282 +$1,029 (+1%)
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No 97¢ 99¢ $65,168 $66,704 +$1,536 (+2%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No 94¢ 99¢ $61,298 $64,733 +$3,435 (+6%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 83¢ 90¢ $52,326 $56,954 +$4,628 (+9%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No 97¢ 97¢ $49,553 $49,859 +$305 (+1%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 92¢ 93¢ $41,984 $42,636 +$653 (+2%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No 95¢ 99¢ $27,765 $29,123 +$1,358 (+5%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 82¢ 99¢ $18,228 $22,083 +$3,855 (+21%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? No 97¢ 98¢ $17,890 $18,154 +$264 (+1%)
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June? No 97¢ 99¢ $16,282 $16,577 +$295 (+2%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No 96¢ 99¢ $15,989 $16,549 +$560 (+4%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? No 86¢ 99¢ $14,178 $16,303 +$2,125 (+15%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No 94¢ 99¢ $15,100 $15,848 +$748 (+5%)
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No 96¢ 98¢ $14,188 $14,461 +$273 (+2%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No 94¢ 98¢ $11,895 $12,446 +$551 (+5%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? No 97¢ 99¢ $10,329 $10,486 +$158 (+2%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? No 98¢ 100¢ $9,539 $9,721 +$182 (+2%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? No 99¢ 99¢ $7,981 $7,975 −$6 (-0%)
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 97¢ 94¢ $7,807 $7,536 −$271 (-3%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No 94¢ 96¢ $7,292 $7,501 +$210 (+3%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No 91¢ 95¢ $7,059 $7,395 +$336 (+5%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No 98¢ 99¢ $6,750 $6,845 +$95 (+1%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June? No 97¢ 99¢ $6,324 $6,399 +$75 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26? Jun 12 $26 +$1,906 +7345%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Jun 12 $10,970 +$105 +1%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? Jun 11 $7,440 +$106 +1%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Jun 11 $1,352 +$12 +1%
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June? Jun 10 $271 +$7 +3%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Jun 10 $291 −$35 -12%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? Jun 09 $4,109 +$102 +2%
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? Jun 09 $1,978 +$7 +0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Jun 09 $89 −$20 -22%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 07 $3,878 +$106 +3%
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 07 $54 +$1 +2%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? Jun 05 $6,703 +$8,941 +133%
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Jun 03 $1,088 +$12 +1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? Jun 02 $25,803 +$238 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? Jun 01 $991 +$9 +1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $2,800 +$10 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? Jun 01 $980 +$20 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? Jun 01 $982 +$18 +2%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31? May 30 $2,905 +$187 +6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May? May 28 $4,910 +$80 +2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? May 28 $31,804 +$267 +1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? May 28 $10,892 +$310 +3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? May 27 $32,826 +$1,498 +5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? May 21 $11,939 +$1,430 +12%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? May 20 $2,916 +$9,954 +341%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? May 18 $362 +$92 +25%
Will Trump Insult Xi this week? May 18 $5,843 +$73 +1%
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week? May 18 $17,187 +$113 +1%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 16 $465 +$1 +0%
Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping? May 15 $362 +$10 +3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? May 06 $975 +$15 +2%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? May 06 $3,864 +$994 +26%
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4? May 05 $426 −$77 -18%
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5? May 04 $446 −$77 -17%
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 3? May 04 $304 −$64 -21%
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 2? May 02 $176 −$86 -49%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1? May 02 $10,500 +$102 +1%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? May 01 $8,736 +$2,127 +24%
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%? Apr 30 $22 +$978 +4527%
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 30? Apr 30 $697 −$143 -20%
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 1? Apr 30 $174 −$78 -45%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026? Apr 29 $498 −$16 -3%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026? Apr 29 $790 −$90 -11%
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 29? Apr 29 $9,527 −$103 -1%
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28? Apr 28 $6,423 +$2,553 +40%
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27? Apr 27 $3 +$3,302 +103200%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 55% +$17,723
other 27% +$28,903
world 16% +$20,640
tech 1% −$263
crypto 1% +$66
politics 1% +$83
economics 0% +$1,084
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $1,560 2h
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June? BUY No 95¢ $285 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? BUY No 96¢ $11 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? BUY No 96¢ $109 3h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? BUY No 97¢ $974 3h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? BUY No 98¢ $975 3h
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June? SELL No 95¢ $5 3h
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? BUY No 98¢ $482 3h
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? BUY No 98¢ $490 4h
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? BUY No 98¢ $98 4h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? BUY No 98¢ $5 4h
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? BUY No 98¢ $98 5h
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? BUY No 98¢ $131 5h
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? BUY No 99¢ $2,758 5h
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June? BUY No 97¢ $109 5h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? BUY No 96¢ $208 5h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? BUY No 98¢ $868 5h
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June? BUY No 84¢ $199 8h
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June? BUY No 85¢ $425 8h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? BUY No 98¢ $1,177 8h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? BUY No 97¢ $403 8h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June? BUY No 98¢ $92 8h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? BUY No 95¢ $74 8h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? BUY No 95¢ $68 8h
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June? BUY No 84¢ $7 8h
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June? BUY No 95¢ $28 8h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $2 8h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? BUY No 98¢ $2,127 9h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? BUY No 98¢ $1,231 9h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? BUY No 98¢ $1,842 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)+107.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +156.6% +132.1% 75% 8% -6.9%
≤30d 31 +78.0% +61.1% 90% 16% +1.8%
≤90d 47 +128.9% +107.1% 74% 21% +2.0%
all 47 +128.9% +107.1% 74% 21% +2.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover71.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +107.1% 21% +2.0%
10% +87.3% 19% -7.8%
15% ← realistic here +69.2% 13% -16.7%
20% +52.6% 11% -24.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $922,989.04 · official $922,989.08 (match) · 3500 history records