Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T17:00:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
C9 0xc984…ff05 crypto 535 markets active 1h ago coverage 41d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$246 (-3%) realized −$246 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR62%break-even
Win rate72%387W / 148L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day15.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$634
7 days−$657
14 days−$554
30 days−$893
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$747
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -25.2% -32.4% 49% 49% -39.5%
≤30d 420 -7.3% -16.1% 71% 58% -20.8%
≤90d 535 -5.1% -14.1% 72% 62% -17.1%
all 535 -5.1% -14.1% 72% 62% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.1% 62% -17.1%
10% -22.3% 23% -25.0%
15% -29.8% 19% -32.3%
20% -36.7% 17% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$20 · ×0.29 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

41d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$246
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses387 / 148
Open positions0
Markets (closed)535 / 535
History coverage41d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day15.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 535 Trades
no open positions (148 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 24 $12 +$6 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 24 $34 −$33 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 24 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 24 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 24 $360 −$349 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 24 $154 −$150 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 24 $66 −$64 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 24 $28 −$28 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 24 $12 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 24 $9 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 24 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 23 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 23 $78 +$54 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $34 −$33 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 23 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 23 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 23 $7 +$7 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 23 $27 +$24 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 23 $14 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 23 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 22 $6 +$5 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 22 $6 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 22 $187 +$76 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 22 $75 −$73 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 22 $33 −$32 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 22 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 22 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 22 $6 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 22 $12 +$5 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 21 $16 −$16 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 21 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 21 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 21 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 21 $22 +$13 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 21 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 21 $6 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 21 $28 +$19 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 21 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 21 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 21 $39 +$21 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 21 $14 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 21 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 21 $249 +$111 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 21 $73 −$71 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 21 $34 −$34 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 21 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 21 $67 +$43 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 21 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 21 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 20 $15 +$9 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $12 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $6 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $27 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $51 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $34 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $13 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $6 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $27 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $14 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1104 history records