Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:30:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C9 0xc991…c2b8 crypto 276 markets active 23h ago coverage 136d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$143 (-1%) realized −$143 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%270W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$92per market
Trades / day2.1pace
Kalshi-fit81%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$2
14 days−$68
30 days−$83
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 77% +$39
other 17% −$72
world 5% +$14
politics 1% −$129
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -3.0% -12.2% 94% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 88 -2.4% -11.7% 95% 0% -11.0%
≤90d 235 -0.8% -10.2% 98% 0% -9.7%
all 276 -0.9% -10.3% 98% 0% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.3% 0% -10.0%
10% -18.9% 0% -18.7%
15% -26.7% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$37 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.34 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

136d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$143
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses270 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)276 / 276
History coverage136d
Avg bet$92
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 276 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 16? Jun 16 $53 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,810 on June 16, 4AM ET? Jun 16 $53 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 16, 2AM ET? Jun 16 $53 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $70 on June 15? Jun 16 $53 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,820 on June 15, 9PM ET? Jun 16 $53 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,750 on June 15, 4AM ET? Jun 15 $53 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,200 on June 15, 1AM ET? Jun 15 $53 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 14? Jun 14 $52 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 14, 4AM ET? Jun 14 $52 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 13? Jun 14 $52 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 13? Jun 13 $42 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 13, 9AM ET? Jun 13 $53 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 13, 7AM ET? Jun 13 $53 $0 +0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 13 $10 $0 -0%
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 13, 1AM ET? Jun 13 $39 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 13, 1AM ET? Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 12? Jun 13 $53 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $42 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 12, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $42 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 12, 8AM ET? Jun 12 $52 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 12, 7AM ET? Jun 12 $24 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? Jun 11 $52 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 11, 8AM ET? Jun 11 $52 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 11, 2AM ET? Jun 11 $52 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $52 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 10? Jun 10 $42 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 10, 10AM ET? Jun 10 $42 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,590 on June 10, 12AM ET? Jun 10 $52 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 11PM ET? Jun 10 $52 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 9? Jun 10 $0 $0 +1%
Bitcoin above 60,800 on June 9, 10PM ET? Jun 10 $51 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 9? Jun 09 $41 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 9, 11AM ET? Jun 09 $41 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 9, 10AM ET? Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 9, 10AM ET? Jun 09 $41 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 9, 8AM ET? Jun 09 $51 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 8? Jun 08 $10 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,730 on June 8, 12PM ET? Jun 08 $31 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 8, 11AM ET? Jun 08 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 8, 11AM ET? Jun 08 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum above 1,720 on June 8, 10AM ET? Jun 08 $40 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 8, 9AM ET? Jun 08 $50 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 8, 7AM ET? Jun 08 $50 $0 +0%
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi Jun 08 $75 −$75 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $53 22h
Ethereum above 1,810 on June 16, 4AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $53 29h
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 16, 2AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $53 31h
Will Solana dip to $70 on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $53 34h
Ethereum above 1,820 on June 15, 9PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $53 36h
Ethereum above 1,750 on June 15, 4AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $53 2d
Bitcoin above 66,200 on June 15, 1AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $53 2d
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $52 3d
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 14, 4AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $52 3d
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $52 3d
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $42 3d
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $1 3d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 13, 9AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $53 4d
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 13, 7AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $53 4d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 99¢ $10 4d
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 13, 1AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $39 4d
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 13, 1AM ET? BUY Yes 99¢ $4 4d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 4d
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $53 4d
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $42 4d
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 12, 11AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $42 4d
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 4d
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 12, 8AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $52 5d
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 12, 7AM ET? BUY No 99¢ $24 5d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $52 5d
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 11, 8AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $52 6d
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 11, 2AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $52 6d
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $52 6d
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $42 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 562 history records