Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:47:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc992…7994
sports · 395 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$410 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$483 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$58
Realized−$483
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses99 / 289
Est. fees paid−$40
Open positions7
Markets (closed)388 / 395
History coverage723d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 7 History 388 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$54
14 days−$113
30 days−$503
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Colombia leading at halftime? Yes 51¢ 51¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+0%)
Colombia leading at halftime? No 50¢ 49¢ $7 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 41¢ 41¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 60¢ 59¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes 40¢ 38¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? No 64¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? Yes 38¢ 36¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 64¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June? No 71¢ 71¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June? Yes 30¢ 29¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes 74¢ 74¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No 27¢ 26¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? No 86¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? No 66¢ 76¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Shevchenko vs. Barton: Match O/U 22.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 14 $59 −$2 -3%
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $11 −$1 -9%
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Jun 14 $10 $0 -4%
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Jun 14 $19 −$1 -5%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $16 −$3 -18%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $18 $0 -0%
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $7 −$1 -15%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $9 +$3 +37%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in June? Jun 12 $25 −$2 -8%
Shevchenko vs. Barton: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 11 $12 −$12 -99%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime? Jun 11 $13 −$2 -17%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 11 $13 −$1 -6%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $8 −$3 -36%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $9 −$3 -33%
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $7 $0 -6%
Spread: Uzbekistan (-2.5) Jun 10 $6 −$5 -86%
Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch? Jun 10 $8 −$2 -24%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 10 $73 −$2 -3%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 10 $206 −$3 -2%
World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. Alvarez Jun 10 $10 −$1 -8%
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 10 $12 −$1 -5%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? Jun 10 $11 −$2 -20%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 10 $13 −$1 -7%
Set Handicap: Krejcikova (-1.5) vs Zarazua (+1.5) Jun 09 $9 −$2 -26%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Jun 09 $6 $0 -8%
Set Handicap: Brooksby (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5) Jun 09 $9 −$1 -8%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 09 $9 $0 -5%
O/U 1.5 Rounds Jun 09 $12 −$1 -5%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 09 $12 −$1 -5%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $9 +$3 +27%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 08 $42 −$4 -10%
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? Jun 08 $14 −$3 -18%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? Jun 07 $16 $0 +1%
Will Shehbaz Sharif be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Jun 07 $16 −$11 -69%
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu Jun 07 $16 −$1 -7%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Jun 07 $20 −$1 -5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Jun 07 $18 −$2 -11%
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $19 −$1 -6%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $12 −$1 -9%
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Jun 06 $18 −$4 -25%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Jun 06 $22 −$2 -10%
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 06 $21 −$1 -3%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $54 −$3 -6%
Barton vs. Daniel: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 05 $22 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7? Jun 05 $9 +$1 +8%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 05 $9 −$3 -34%
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 05 $13 $0 -0%
Lukas vs. Semenistaja: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 04 $14 +$1 +8%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 04 $7 $0 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 27% −$161
sports 22% −$112
crypto 17% −$71
other 16% −$165
politics 11% +$61
finance 4% +$10
tech 2% −$1
economics 1% −$33
culture 0% −$12
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? BUY No 64¢ $5 1h
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 74¢ $4 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 27¢ $4 1h
Colombia leading at halftime? BUY Yes 51¢ $7 1h
Colombia leading at halftime? BUY No 50¢ $7 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL No 43¢ $6 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 44¢ $6 1h
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? BUY No 64¢ $5 1h
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? BUY Yes 40¢ $5 1h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 60¢ $5 1h
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June? BUY No 71¢ $4 1h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY No 41¢ $5 1h
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June? BUY Yes 30¢ $4 1h
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 28¢ $5 1h
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 72¢ $5 1h
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 69¢ $5 1h
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? SELL No 51¢ $9 1h
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL Yes 27¢ $5 1h
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? SELL Yes 49¢ $9 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 51¢ $9 25h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 50¢ $9 25h
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 71¢ $6 25h
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 31¢ $6 25h
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? BUY No 75¢ $5 25h
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 25h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 60¢ $8 25h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 41¢ $8 25h
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? BUY No 51¢ $10 25h
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? BUY Yes 49¢ $10 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-22.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -13.3% -21.6% 6% 6% -16.5%
≤30d 154 -32.1% -38.6% 12% 5% -25.3%
≤90d 377 -16.0% -24.0% 24% 10% -17.5%
all 388 -14.1% -22.3% 26% 12% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.3% 12% -15.4%
10% -29.7% 7% -23.5%
15% -36.5% 6% -30.9%
20% -42.7% 4% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $58.16 · official $57.12 · 1833 history records