trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -3.9% | -13.1% | 25% | 0% | -11.7% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -1.9% | -11.2% | 33% | 0% | -10.8% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 54% | 8% | -10.2% |
| all | 21 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 62% | 5% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.6% | 5% | -10.1% |
| 10% | -17.4% | 0% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -25.4% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -32.7% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 24 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 23 | $4 | $0 | -7% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 23 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $36 | −$3 | -9% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 27 | $54 | −$2 | -4% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 26 | $86 | −$2 | -2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 26 | $21 | +$1 | +3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 26 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 25 | $74 | +$1 | +1% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 24 | $44 | +$1 | +3% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 23 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | May 21 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 21 | $3 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 11 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30? | Dec 11 | $9 | $0 | +2% |
| Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jul 17 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elec | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 25 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 29 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series? | Mar 24 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 20 | $12 | $0 | +0% |