trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +72.4% | +56.0% | 44% | 44% | +15.1% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +72.4% | +56.0% | 44% | 44% | +15.1% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +72.4% | +56.0% | 44% | 44% | +15.1% |
| all | 29 | +73.2% | +56.7% | 31% | 31% | +40.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +56.7% | 31% | +40.7% |
| 10% | +41.7% | 28% | +27.3% |
| 15% | +28.1% | 28% | +15.0% |
| 20% | +15.5% | 24% | +3.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $50 | $50 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $39 | $34 | −$5 (-13%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $30 | −$16 | -52% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $5 | +$17 | +324% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 14 | $11 | −$11 | -99% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$1 | -14% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $48 | +$9 | +19% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $10 | +$11 | +109% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $51 | +$51 | +100% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$13 | +250% |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$10 | +980% |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $22 | −$17 | -80% |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 12 | $19 | −$4 | -22% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $61 | +$26 | +44% |
| Will Ilie Bolojan win the Romanian presidential election? | Mar 13 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Will Anamaria Gavrilă win the Romanian presidential election? | Mar 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election? | Mar 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Daniel Funeriu win the Romanian presidential election? | Jan 31 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days? | Jan 31 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Trump's inaugural address be 10-12 minutes? | Jan 31 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Jan 14 | $979 | +$641 | +66% |
| Will Trump's inaugural address be 12-14 minutes? | Jan 13 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "carnage" during his inauguration speech? | Jan 12 | $55 | −$55 | -100% |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024? | Jan 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Dec 06 | $29 | −$29 | -100% |
| Will Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Dec 06 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Dec 06 | $20 | +$413 | +2066% |