Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:36:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc9a9…f203
crypto · 233 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$108 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$108 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$108
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses121 / 109
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)230 / 233
History coverage21d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day19.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 230 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$15
14 days−$91
30 days−$108
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 46¢ 72¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+58%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 46¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 33¢ 28¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-17%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$4 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$35
politics 13% −$74
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $0 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 -15.0% -23.1% 53% 45% -12.9%
≤30d 230 -13.0% -21.2% 53% 45% -21.0%
≤90d 230 -13.0% -21.2% 53% 45% -21.0%
all 230 -13.0% -21.2% 53% 45% -21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.2% 45% -21.0%
10% -28.8% 23% -28.5%
15% -35.7% 15% -35.5%
20% -42.0% 9% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.97 · official $6.97 (match) · 699 history records