trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 29 | -9.2% | -17.8% | 52% | 41% | -24.6% |
| ≤30d | 29 | -9.2% | -17.8% | 52% | 41% | -24.6% |
| ≤90d | 173 | -3.0% | -12.2% | 64% | 43% | -12.2% |
| all | 352 | -3.9% | -13.0% | 62% | 44% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.0% | 44% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -21.3% | 32% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 25% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -35.9% | 18% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 72¢ | 74¢ | $50 | $52 | +$2 (+3%) |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $49 | +$21 | +43% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $32 | +$18 | +57% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $15 | +$5 | +32% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $12 | −$12 | -98% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $17 | +$3 | +15% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $34 | +$16 | +48% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $39 | −$37 | -95% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $55 | −$54 | -99% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $37 | −$37 | -99% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $26 | +$24 | +90% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $31 | −$31 | -99% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $15 | −$14 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $6 | +$14 | +250% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $19 | −$19 | -98% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $18 | −$18 | -98% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $57 | +$3 | +6% |
| Germany leading at halftime? | Jun 14 | $26 | +$4 | +17% |
| Germany to score first vs. Curaçao? | Jun 14 | $18 | +$2 | +8% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$9 | -98% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $98 | +$2 | +2% |
| Spread: Australia (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $7 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $14 | +$16 | +109% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $9 | −$9 | -94% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $9 | +$21 | +250% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $16 | −$16 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $12 | +$18 | +158% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$8 | -79% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 10 | $22 | −$19 | -88% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $21 | −$10 | -49% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 08 | $13 | +$17 | +128% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 06 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 06 | $37 | +$11 | +29% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 05 | $39 | +$1 | +3% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 02 | $7 | −$7 | -99% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $59 | +$57 | +97% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 30 | $7 | +$6 | +77% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $55 | −$54 | -99% |
| Qingdao Eagles vs. Shanxi Loongs | Apr 29 | $15 | +$4 | +27% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 29 | $118 | +$2 | +2% |
| Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards | Apr 28 | $43 | +$6 | +15% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 28 | $89 | +$10 | +11% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 28 | $37 | +$3 | +8% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 27 | $22 | −$21 | -96% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 26 | $46 | −$31 | -68% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 26 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $16 | +$6 | +36% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 24 | $15 | +$15 | +101% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 24 | $25 | +$34 | +134% |