Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:00:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc9f7…72bc
weather · 210 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$3
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses186 / 23
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)209 / 210
History coverage32d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day12.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 209 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$0
14 days−$1
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 94¢ 80¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 16? No 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 20? No 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 10? Jun 11 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 10? Jun 10 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 89% −$1
crypto 6% −$2
sports 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus SELL Tatiana Prozorova 100¢ $5 12m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 94¢ $5 37m
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Tatiana Prozorova 98¢ $5 54m
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 100¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 98¢ $5 2h
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova SELL Katarina Kuzmova 100¢ $4 2h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June SELL No 100¢ $5 3h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis SELL David Jorda Sanchis 100¢ $10 3h
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova BUY Katarina Kuzmova 98¢ $4 3h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 98¢ $5 3h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 99¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $5 6h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $5 6h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $4 6h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $5 19h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $5 19h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $5 20h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $5 20h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $4 22h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $5 22h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June BUY No 98¢ $5 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 27h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $5 27h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on June 11? BUY No 97¢ $5 27h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $4 27h
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $5 27h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $5 27h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $5 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 -0.4% -9.9% 92% 4% -9.6%
≤30d 200 -0.7% -10.1% 90% 3% -9.9%
≤90d 209 -0.6% -10.1% 89% 3% -9.8%
all 209 -0.6% -10.1% 89% 3% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 3% -9.8%
10% -18.7% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.6% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.23 · official $4.23 (match) · 443 history records