trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 29 | -18.2% | -26.0% | 17% | 14% | -12.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.0% | 14% | -12.0% |
| 10% | -33.1% | 14% | -20.5% |
| 15% | -39.5% | 14% | -28.1% |
| 20% | -45.5% | 14% | -35.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1,024 | $1,023 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 19 | $553 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 19 | $661 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 19 | $1,360 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 18 | $420 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 18 | $1,034 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 17 | $1,026 | −$1 | -0% |
| Spread: BAL (-4.5) | Sep 22 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Yankees vs. Twins | Sep 22 | $24 | +$16 | +64% |
| Blue Jays vs. Rays | Sep 17 | $12 | +$12 | +99% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 16 | $5 | +$7 | +127% |
| Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Kim Kyoung-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Solana reach $220 in June? | Jul 15 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | May 19 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May? | May 19 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May? | May 12 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May? | May 06 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 05 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 25 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Canucks vs. Canadiens | Jan 08 | $123 | −$123 | -100% |
| Will Lamar Jackson be the top Fantasy Quarterback? | Jan 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Predators vs. Canucks | Jan 05 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool lead the EPL in points at midway point? | Jan 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Notre Dame vs. Georgia | Jan 03 | $112 | +$99 | +89% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 03 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| 草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)? | Oct 01 | $12 | $0 | -2% |