Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:23:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xca01…0965
crypto · 639 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,264 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,264 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$2,264
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses308 / 460
Open positions0
Markets (closed)768 / 639
History coverage8d
Avg bet$71
Trades / day368.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 768 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,872
7 days−$2,836
14 days−$2,264
30 days−$2,264
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+89%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$295
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $64 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $64 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $79 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $66 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $110 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $61 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $58 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 575 -15.8% -23.8% 36% 30% -16.9%
≤30d 768 -6.6% -15.5% 40% 32% -13.8%
≤90d 768 -6.6% -15.5% 40% 32% -13.8%
all 768 -6.6% -15.5% 40% 32% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover368.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 32% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 27% -22.1%
15% -31.0% 20% -29.6%
20% -37.7% 13% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.62 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records