Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T20:42:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0

score

CA 0xca02…e637 crypto 7 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d

RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ Small sample

✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage

Total PnL −$89 (-90%) realized −$89 · open +$0

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Gross ROI / mkt -100% what the leader earns

→−copy tax

Net edge / mkt -100% what you keep after slip

Net edge-100%after slip

Net WR0%break-even

Win rate0%0W / 7L

Drawdown100%max

Avg bet$14per market

Trades / day7.0pace

Kalshi-fit100%portable

Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL

Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net

insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +0%

net ROI/market (all)-100.0%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	7	-100.0%	-100.0%	0%	0%	-100.0%
≤30d	7	-100.0%	-100.0%	0%	0%	-100.0%
≤90d	7	-100.0%	-100.0%	0%	0%	-100.0%
all	7	-100.0%	-100.0%	0%	0%	-100.0%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip

turnover7.0 tr/day

realistic slip~7%

edge survives to0%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here	-100.0%	0%	-100.0%
10%	-100.0%	0%	-100.0%
15%	-100.0%	0%	-100.0%
20%	-100.0%	0%	-100.0%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill

Profit concentration

top —% · top 2 —% thin sample

Edge freshness (90d)

90d ROI -100% too few recent

Fragile wins

—% wins margin < slip thin sample

Flat-copyable

equal-wt -100% · $-wt -100% works when copied flat

Big bets

big-bet WR —% no data

Persistence

early —% → late —% no data

Add-ons / DCA

1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries

Win / loss size

— vs −$14 no data

Profit factor

×0.0 loses more than it wins

Copy size

≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage

Net worth$0

Realized−$89

Unrealized+$0

Win rate (resolved)0%

Wins / losses0 / 7

Open positions0

Markets (closed)7 / 7

History coverage1d

Avg bet$14

Trades / day7.0

Drawdown100%

Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades

Positions 0 History 7 Trades

no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Jun 28	$5	−$5	-96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Jun 28	$5	−$5	-95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Jun 28	$5	−$4	-94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Jun 28	$5	−$5	-94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Jun 28	$26	−$26	-100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Jun 28	$26	−$25	-96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Jun 28	$26	−$26	-100%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	BUY Down	48¢	$5	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	BUY Down	28¢	$5	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	BUY Down	3¢	$5	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	BUY Up	6¢	$5	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	BUY Down	27¢	$26	2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	BUY Up	37¢	$26	2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	BUY Down	17¢	$26	2h

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 9 history records