trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -4.9% | -13.9% | 43% | 29% | -62.6% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -4.9% | -13.9% | 43% | 29% | -62.6% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -4.9% | -13.9% | 43% | 29% | -62.6% |
| all | 7 | -4.9% | -13.9% | 43% | 29% | -62.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.9% | 29% | -62.6% |
| 10% | -22.2% | 29% | -66.2% |
| 15% | -29.7% | 29% | -69.5% |
| 20% | -36.6% | 29% | -72.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | 27¢ | 25¢ | $80 | $74 | −$6 (-7%) |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 15¢ | $60 | $57 | −$3 (-5%) |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 30¢ | 29¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 42¢ | 46¢ | $25 | $28 | +$3 (+11%) |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $10 | $14 | +$4 (+41%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | Jun 15 | $16 | −$15 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | Jun 15 | $75 | +$4 | +5% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Jun 14 | $403 | −$401 | -100% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score | Jun 13 | $31 | +$58 | +188% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 | Jun 13 | $25 | +$44 | +172% |