Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:21:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CA 0xca15…4560 crypto 69 markets active 7d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (115 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$5 (-6%) realized −$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate65%45W / 24L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day115.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 91% −$5
sports 6% −$1
other 3% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (115 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -11.4% -19.8% 64% 38% -19.4%
≤30d 69 -8.0% -16.7% 65% 43% -16.9%
≤90d 69 -8.0% -16.7% 65% 43% -16.9%
all 69 -8.0% -16.7% 65% 43% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover115.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 43% -16.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 20% -24.8%
15% -32.0% 9% -32.1%
20% -38.6% 1% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
29% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.33 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses45 / 24
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)69 / 69
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day115.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 69 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +18%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $1 $0 -4%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Matteo Martineau Jun 10 $1 $0 -4%
Lyon: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 10 $1 $0 -29%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $1 $0 -29%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $1 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 149 history records