trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -69.7% | -72.6% | 0% | 0% | -57.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -69.7% | -72.6% | 0% | 0% | -57.5% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -69.7% | -72.6% | 0% | 0% | -57.5% |
| all | 3 | -69.7% | -72.6% | 0% | 0% | -57.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -72.6% | 0% | -57.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -75.2% | 0% | -61.6% |
| 15% | -77.6% | 0% | -65.3% |
| 20% | -79.8% | 0% | -68.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $405 | $413 | +$8 (+2%) |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $226 | $227 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Yes | 31¢ | 33¢ | $212 | $223 | +$11 (+5%) |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | Yes | 23¢ | 22¢ | $151 | $147 | −$4 (-3%) |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 39¢ | 57¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+47%) |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | Jun 19 | $5 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | Jun 17 | $3 | −$2 | -64% |