Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:45:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xca4f…9f11
crypto · 160 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$255 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$69 · open −$170
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$772
Realized+$69
Unrealized−$170
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses56 / 47
Open positions59
Markets (closed)103 / 160
History coverage8d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day408.5
Drawdown75%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 59 History 103 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$135
7 days+$69
14 days+$69
30 days+$69
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? No 45¢ 99¢ $47 $103 +$56 (+120%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? Yes 69¢ 93¢ $48 $64 +$16 (+34%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? No 79¢ 88¢ $34 $38 +$4 (+12%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15? No 56¢ 48¢ $36 $31 −$5 (-14%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 15? No 54¢ 54¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? No 73¢ 82¢ $26 $29 +$3 (+12%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15? No 55¢ 58¢ $25 $26 +$2 (+7%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? No 71¢ 80¢ $21 $24 +$3 (+12%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? No 53¢ 52¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-4%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? No 19¢ 14¢ $30 $22 −$7 (-25%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? No 48¢ 49¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14? No 81¢ 78¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15? Yes 40¢ 42¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? No 74¢ 100¢ $12 $16 +$4 (+34%)
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? Yes 18¢ 22¢ $13 $16 +$3 (+23%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 14? No 77¢ 84¢ $14 $15 +$1 (+8%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21? Yes 78¢ 73¢ $16 $15 −$1 (-6%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? No 87¢ 94¢ $13 $14 +$1 (+8%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 16? No 81¢ 90¢ $12 $13 +$1 (+10%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 16? No 80¢ 90¢ $12 $13 +$1 (+11%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 15? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? Yes 46¢ 48¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+6%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 16? No 80¢ 99¢ $9 $12 +$2 (+24%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21? No 78¢ 78¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8? Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $95 −$12 -13%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $60 +$13 +22%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $35 −$7 -21%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $44 −$24 -54%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $14 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $102 −$23 -23%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $78 −$7 -9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $118 −$13 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? Jun 14 $53 +$4 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 10? Jun 14 $14 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 12? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 9? Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Jun 14 $8 +$2 +19%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $19 +$1 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? Jun 14 $35 +$5 +15%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $33 +$12 +37%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $17 +$3 +18%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $99 +$5 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18? Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $106 −$7 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $65 −$8 -12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $112 +$71 +63%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $117 −$31 -27%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $41 −$11 -26%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $117 −$23 -20%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $11 +$4 +36%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $26 −$11 -43%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $40 +$10 +26%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $39 +$4 +10%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $27 +$3 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $37 +$13 +34%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $47 −$1 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $21 +$1 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $120 −$19 -16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $97 +$10 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $168 −$18 -11%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $19 $0 -2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $31 +$13 +43%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $66 +$16 +25%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $19 +$1 +6%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $62 +$5 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$70
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 45¢ $2 6m
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 8m
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 8m
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 8m
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 8m
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 8m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15? BUY No 55¢ $5 8m
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? BUY No 78¢ $5 8m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 9m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15? BUY No 55¢ $5 9m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15? BUY No 55¢ $3 9m
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 9m
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 9m
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 9m
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 9m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 14? BUY No 79¢ $4 9m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 14? BUY No 79¢ $4 9m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 14? BUY No 80¢ $4 9m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15? BUY No 57¢ $3 9m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19? BUY No 50¢ $2 9m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY No 16¢ $1 11m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY No 17¢ $1 13m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY No 17¢ $1 13m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY No 17¢ $1 13m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY No 17¢ $1 13m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY No 16¢ $1 17m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 17m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 17m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 17m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 17m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 -8.0% -16.8% 54% 26% -8.5%
≤30d 103 -8.0% -16.8% 54% 26% -8.5%
≤90d 103 -8.0% -16.8% 54% 26% -8.5%
all 103 -8.0% -16.8% 54% 26% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover408.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 26% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 18% -17.2%
15% -32.0% 13% -25.2%
20% -38.7% 9% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $771.70 · official $775.39 (match) · 3500 history records