Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T05:42:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CA 0xca5e…a236 crypto 576 markets active 1h ago coverage 156d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$7,194 (+1%) realized +$7,194 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate93%533W / 40L
Whale WR99%big bets
Drawdown16%max
Avg bet$2,121per market
Trades / day13.4pace
Fees−$126est.
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$52
7 days+$409
14 days+$1,424
30 days+$2,305
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 51% +$977
sports 24% +$4,500
other 23% +$715
world 1% +$12
politics 0% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 181 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.1%
≤90d 449 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.1%
all 573 +0.0% -9.5% 93% 2% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover13.4 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 2% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 2% -17.8%
15% -26.1% 2% -25.7%
20% -33.3% 2% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 37% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 99% (≥$2,344) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -0% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$14 vs −$41 · ×0.35 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×5.16 per $1 lost it wins $5.16
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

156d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$7,194
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses533 / 40
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Est. fees paid−$126
Open positions0
Markets (closed)573 / 576
History coverage156d
Avg bet$2,121
Trades / day13.4
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 573 Trades
no open positions (26 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 0 IR Iran? Jun 27 $9,845 +$10 +0%
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran? Jun 27 $2,037 +$2 +0%
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Belgium? Jun 27 $3,579 +$4 +0%
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5 Jun 27 $369 +$4 +1%
Saudi Arabia leading at halftime? Jun 27 $8,230 +$8 +0%
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 27 $661 +$1 +0%
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 27 $5,994 +$6 +0%
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 27 $23 $0 +0%
PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky Jun 27 $907 +$1 +0%
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw? Jun 26 $235 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 United States? Jun 26 $927 +$1 +0%
United States leading at halftime? Jun 26 $2,818 +$3 +0%
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 2 Australia? Jun 26 $625 +$1 +0%
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 Australia? Jun 26 $80 $0 +0%
Sweden leading at halftime? Jun 26 $1,101 +$1 +0%
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 Jun 26 $2,135 +$2 +0%
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 2 Netherlands? Jun 26 $2,695 +$3 +0%
Exact Score: Tunisia 2 - 0 Netherlands? Jun 26 $609 +$1 +0%
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 1 Netherlands? Jun 26 $3,352 +$3 +0%
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 0 Netherlands? Jun 26 $1,005 +$1 +0%
Exact Score: Curaçao 1 - 3 Côte d'Ivoire? Jun 25 $2,009 +$2 +0%
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5 Jun 25 $5,010 +$5 +0%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 25 $3,493 +$5 +0%
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 2 Mexico? Jun 25 $609 +$1 +0%
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 3 Mexico? Jun 25 $101 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 Mexico? Jun 25 $4,995 +$5 +0%
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 Mexico? Jun 25 $1,969 +$20 +1%
Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 0 Brazil? Jun 25 $15,764 +$16 +0%
Exact Score: Scotland 3 - 3 Brazil? Jun 25 $24 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 24 $11,148 +$109 +1%
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Canada? Jun 24 $427 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 2 Canada? Jun 24 $478 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 DR Congo? Jun 24 $3,565 +$4 +0%
Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 24 $2,110 +$2 +0%
Exact Score: Panama 2 - 0 Croatia? Jun 24 $13,548 +$14 +0%
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Uzbekistan? Jun 23 $1,803 +$2 +0%
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 7.5 Jun 23 $2,954 +$3 +0%
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 2 Algeria? Jun 23 $1,299 +$13 +1%
Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 0 Algeria? Jun 23 $3,211 +$3 +0%
Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 3 Algeria? Jun 23 $16 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 2 Algeria? Jun 23 $7,111 +$9 +0%
Algeria leading at halftime? Jun 23 $3,645 +$4 +0%
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 Senegal? Jun 23 $179 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 Senegal? Jun 23 $4,357 +$4 +0%
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Jun 23 $5,720 +$6 +0%
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 Jun 23 $15,598 +$16 +0%
Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 2 Egypt? Jun 22 $5,480 +$5 +0%
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 1 Egypt? Jun 22 $26 $0 +0%
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 0 Egypt? Jun 22 $9,990 +$10 +0%
Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 3 Egypt? Jun 22 $86 +$2 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Belgium? BUY No 100¢ $3,579 50m
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 0 IR Iran? BUY No 100¢ $35 1h
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5 BUY Under 99¢ $131 1h
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5 BUY Under 99¢ $119 1h
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5 BUY Under 99¢ $119 1h
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 0 IR Iran? BUY No 100¢ $9,690 2h
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran? BUY No 100¢ $1,548 2h
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 0 IR Iran? BUY No 100¢ $105 2h
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 0 IR Iran? BUY No 100¢ $15 2h
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran? BUY No 100¢ $44 2h
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran? BUY No 100¢ $15 2h
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran? BUY No 100¢ $430 2h
PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky BUY Chicago Sky 100¢ $907 4h
Saudi Arabia leading at halftime? BUY No 100¢ $3,057 4h
Saudi Arabia leading at halftime? BUY No 100¢ $1,938 4h
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 100¢ $845 4h
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 100¢ $4,845 4h
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 100¢ $59 4h
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 100¢ $24 4h
Saudi Arabia leading at halftime? BUY No 100¢ $2,997 4h
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $13 4h
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 100¢ $15 4h
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $541 4h
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 100¢ $103 4h
Saudi Arabia leading at halftime? BUY No 100¢ $158 4h
Saudi Arabia leading at halftime? BUY No 100¢ $21 4h
Saudi Arabia leading at halftime? BUY No 100¢ $60 4h
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 100¢ $24 4h
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $28 4h
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $79 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $30.00 · 2595 history records