Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T09:20:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
CA 0xca6b…ff01 crypto 254 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (233 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$47 (-1%) realized −$57 · open +$10
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate87%220W / 32L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$28per market
Trades / day232.7pace
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$43now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 89% −$81
other 11% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (233 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 252 -0.9% -10.3% 87% 0% -10.7%
≤30d 252 -0.9% -10.3% 87% 0% -10.7%
≤90d 252 -0.9% -10.3% 87% 0% -10.7%
all 252 -0.9% -10.3% 87% 0% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover232.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 0% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 0% -19.2%
15% -26.7% 0% -27.0%
20% -33.9% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$5 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.47 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$43
Realized−$57
Unrealized+$10
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses220 / 32
Open positions2
Markets (closed)252 / 254
History coverage1d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day232.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 252 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 99¢ 94¢ $33 $31 −$2 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 0¢ 36¢ $0 $12 +$12 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 19 $33 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 -0%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 19 $32 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 19 $32 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 -0%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 19 $33 −$1 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 19 $28 +$5 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 19 $32 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $32 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $32 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $33 −$1 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 19 $33 −$33 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $33 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 11m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 11m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 20m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 20m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $31 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $33 25m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 25m
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $32 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $32 30m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 30m
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 37m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $32 37m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $33 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 41m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $42.57 · official $40.59 · 522 history records