trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$14 | +276% |
| Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play | Jun 13 | $3 | +$4 | +124% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $25 | +$27 | +108% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou | Jun 12 | $4 | +$9 | +226% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 10 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner | Jun 10 | $1 | +$1 | +121% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $3 | +$6 | +197% |
| Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw? | Jun 05 | $1 | +$19 | +1845% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-04? | Jun 04 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 02 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 30 | $8 | +$5 | +65% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 26 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5) | May 26 | $2 | $0 | +14% |
| Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5) | May 26 | $2 | $0 | +20% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 25 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: US Lecce (-1.5) | May 24 | $5 | +$2 | +32% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $5 | +$6 | +118% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23? | May 24 | $5 | +$2 | +40% |
| Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA | May 22 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $2 | +$1 | +28% |
| Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs SoloTeam (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Gro | May 22 | $6 | +$3 | +50% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $8 | +$2 | +26% |
| Bulls vs. Wizards | May 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Jazz | May 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Pistons | May 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | May 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Nets | May 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers | May 20 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Suns | May 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Raptors | May 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | May 20 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | May 20 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | May 01 | $1 | $0 | +26% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | May 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Jazz | May 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | May 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | May 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | May 01 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Kings | May 01 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Raptors | May 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Clippers | May 01 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Apr 14 | $1 | +$1 | +65% |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Apr 14 | $2 | $0 | +14% |
| Jazz vs. Lakers | Apr 14 | $2 | $0 | +14% |
| Bulls vs. Mavericks | Apr 14 | $2 | $0 | +20% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +35.5% | +22.6% | 50% | 50% | +5.9% |
| ≤30d | 37 | +32.1% | +19.6% | 43% | 43% | -4.5% |
| ≤90d | 97 | +24.2% | +12.4% | 69% | 69% | +2.4% |
| all | 97 | +24.2% | +12.4% | 69% | 69% | +2.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +12.4% | 69% | +2.4% |
| 10% | +1.6% | 49% | -7.4% |
| 15% | -8.2% | 35% | -16.3% |
| 20% | -17.2% | 25% | -24.5% |