Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:43:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xca70…ae23
sports · 197 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$60
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$16
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses82 / 109
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions5
Markets (closed)191 / 197
History coverage598d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 5 History 191 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$11
14 days−$16
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? Yes 72¢ 71¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 13¢ 16¢ $13 $16 +$3 (+24%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 40¢ 100¢ $5 $12 +$7 (+150%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 32¢ 67¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+111%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 7¢ 11¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+55%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs 3DMAX 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Voca 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-18? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A MOUZ 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Xinyu Wang vs Laura Samson Xinyu Wang 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-04-11? Yes 74¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs MIBR 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026? No 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$3 +57%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$4 +76%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $10 +$8 +76%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $15 −$5 -33%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $12 −$2 -16%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5 +$5 +97%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5 +$8 +152%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri Jun 07 $4 +$3 +62%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 +$2 +36%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 +$5 +48%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $5 +$4 +79%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $2 +$3 +134%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $10 +$7 +73%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 03 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 03 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla Jun 02 $3 +$2 +68%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 02 $2 +$2 +109%
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 02 $2 +$5 +226%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw? May 30 $1 $0 +8%
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P May 24 $3 −$2 -65%
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision (BO5) - Asian Champions League May 23 $1 +$1 +114%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Champi May 23 $2 +$1 +38%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A May 23 $3 +$1 +44%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B May 23 $2 +$2 +119%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships May 23 $10 +$1 +12%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B May 22 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships G May 22 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Grou May 20 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A May 20 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 16 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% −$16
other 31% −$24
politics 6% +$24
culture 2% +$3
world 1% +$11
finance 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $5 11h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $5 15h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 48¢ $5 15h
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? BUY Yes 72¢ $20 16h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 15¢ $2 16h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 BUY 27¢ $5 20h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 34h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 44¢ $3 37h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 52¢ $5 39h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $5 40h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 27¢ $3 40h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 56¢ $5 40h
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 56¢ $10 3d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY TYLOO 28¢ $3 3d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY TYLOO 27¢ $5 4d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL 9z 73¢ $13 4d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY 9z 56¢ $10 4d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY MIBR 42¢ $2 4d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL B8 60¢ $11 4d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 55¢ $10 4d
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY FlyQuest 44¢ $2 5d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 50¢ $5 5d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY MIBR 49¢ $5 5d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Flavio Cobolli 23¢ $3 5d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY TYLOO 39¢ $5 5d
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY paiN 50¢ $5 6d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY FUT Esports 73¢ $5 6d
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri BUY No 61¢ $4 6d
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Legacy 67¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-29.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -24.3% -31.5% 41% 41% -16.8%
≤30d 53 -24.0% -31.2% 42% 42% -19.8%
≤90d 151 -31.4% -37.9% 37% 35% -21.3%
all 191 -21.5% -29.0% 43% 41% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.0% 41% -11.1%
10% -35.8% 36% -19.6%
15% -42.0% 31% -27.4%
20% -47.7% 25% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $60.28 · official $60.28 (match) · 392 history records