Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:28:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xca73…b02e
crypto · 570 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,989 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,989 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,989
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses183 / 386
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)569 / 570
History coverage213d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 0 History 569 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$404
7 days−$408
14 days−$391
30 days−$391
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Zdenek Kolar 21¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$13 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$9 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$4 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$4 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Norway win on 2026-03-31? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$9 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Will Azerbaijan vs. San Marino end in a draw? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-06? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Gangwon FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$9 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Tyler: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Gorzny Jun 12 $53 −$24 -46%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% −$1,461
other 14% −$240
sports 12% −$203
world 1% −$73
politics 0% −$2
tech 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? AND Will Paragua BUY 9¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 1h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina SELL Zdenek Kolar 23¢ $4 1h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 21¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $9 1h
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $10 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $9 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $9 2d
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally SELL Emma Navarro 25¢ $9 2d
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally BUY Emma Navarro 26¢ $10 2d
Will Azerbaijan vs. San Marino end in a draw? BUY Yes 9¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $13 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $13 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-29.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -66.9% -70.1% 17% 11% -55.6%
≤30d 72 -55.6% -59.8% 17% 11% -45.6%
≤90d 395 -47.8% -52.8% 26% 20% -37.8%
all 569 -22.1% -29.5% 32% 27% -20.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.5% 27% -20.2%
10% -36.2% 22% -27.9%
15% -42.4% 19% -34.8%
20% -48.1% 15% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $17.00 · 1814 history records