trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 100% | 0% | -8.0% |
| all | 30 | -6.0% | -14.9% | 93% | 0% | -14.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.9% | 0% | -14.1% |
| 10% | -23.1% | 0% | -22.3% |
| 15% | -30.5% | 0% | -29.8% |
| 20% | -37.3% | 0% | -36.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $134 | $134 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $100 | $100 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May? | Jun 01 | $233 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9? | May 10 | $233 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 21? | Apr 22 | $233 | $0 | +0% |
| Bulls vs. Wizards | Apr 08 | $233 | $0 | +0% |
| Celtics vs. Heat | Apr 02 | $233 | +$1 | +0% |
| Jazz vs. Nuggets | Mar 28 | $211 | +$22 | +10% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on March 25? | Mar 26 | $210 | $0 | +0% |
| Suns vs. Raptors | Mar 14 | $1,058 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 9 above $245? | Mar 14 | $1,058 | +$1 | +0% |
| Pistons vs. Nets | Mar 11 | $1,056 | +$2 | +0% |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | Mar 10 | $1,032 | +$24 | +2% |
| Rockets vs. Spurs | Mar 09 | $1,031 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 2 above $2.50? | Mar 07 | $369 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $1.00 end of February? | Feb 28 | $150 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner | Feb 27 | $214 | +$4 | +2% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 16 above $3.00? | Feb 21 | $364 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 9 above $3.00? | Feb 14 | $364 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Meta (META) finish week of February 2 above $790? | Feb 07 | $363 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than | Feb 05 | $362 | +$1 | +0% |
| Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Jan 20 | $279 | −$279 | -100% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) | Jan 13 | $339 | −$339 | -100% |
| Will donk finish in the top 5 of the HLTV Top 20 Players of 2025? | Jan 11 | $125 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Jan 02 | $52 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | Jan 02 | $62 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jan 02 | $93 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $101 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $102 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $384 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $275 | $0 | +0% |