Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:30:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xca76…9fb5
crypto · 624 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$195 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$195 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$195
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses368 / 255
Open positions0
Markets (closed)623 / 624
History coverage10d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day108.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 623 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$119
7 days−$122
14 days−$195
30 days−$195
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$195
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $8 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $9 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $9 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $8 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $7 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $6 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $6 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $6 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-19.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 576 -10.6% -19.1% 61% 33% -14.3%
≤30d 623 -11.2% -19.7% 59% 32% -15.5%
≤90d 623 -11.2% -19.7% 59% 32% -15.5%
all 623 -11.2% -19.7% 59% 32% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover108.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.7% 32% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.4% 25% -23.6%
15% -34.4% 19% -31.0%
20% -40.8% 13% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1619 history records