Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:31:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xca9e…960c
crypto · 849 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,529 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,529 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,529
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses623 / 226
Whale WR (big bets)92%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)849 / 849
History coverage27d
Avg bet$100
Trades / day98.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 849 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$973
7 days+$1,544
14 days+$2,447
30 days+$1,529
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$8 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $72 +$8 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $47 +$17 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $72 +$16 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $59 +$21 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $67 +$13 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$8 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $56 −$49 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $57 +$7 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$10 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $44 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $88 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $43 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $55 +$9 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$6 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $46 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$5 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $189 +$33 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $350 +$14 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$29 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $63 +$25 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $478 +$34 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $484 +$28 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $123 −$123 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $192 +$89 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $205 +$51 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,529
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $14 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $12 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $11 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $15 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $12 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $13 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $15 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $15 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $14 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $14 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $13 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $13 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $12 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $11 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $11 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $15 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $14 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $15 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $13 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $13 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $6 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $11 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $12 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 574 +1.7% -8.0% 81% 55% -7.6%
≤30d 849 +0.0% -9.5% 73% 54% -7.9%
≤90d 849 +0.0% -9.5% 73% 54% -7.9%
all 849 +0.0% -9.5% 73% 54% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover98.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 54% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 35% -16.7%
15% -26.1% 21% -24.8%
20% -33.3% 10% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records