trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -8.1% | -16.8% | 20% | 0% | -11.8% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 28% | 6% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 28% | 6% | -9.8% |
| all | 25 | +2.2% | -7.5% | 44% | 8% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.5% | 8% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -16.4% | 4% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -24.5% | 4% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -31.9% | 4% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | 44¢ | 54¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+21%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | Jun 20 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 19 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $75 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $6 | −$2 | -26% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $21 | −$3 | -14% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 04 | $3 | $0 | +4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 01 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 30 | $3 | $0 | -9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 30 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 29 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 29 | $40 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 28 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 28 | $14 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | May 28 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 27 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 27 | $36 | +$5 | +14% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $19 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jul 23 | $8 | $0 | +2% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 08 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 27 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| St. Thomas - Minnesota vs. South Dakota | Mar 03 | $3 | +$2 | +92% |