Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:19:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xcab1…4d00
crypto · 430 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$666 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$666 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$42
Realized−$666
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses176 / 254
Open positions1
Markets (closed)430 / 430
History coverage3d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day353.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 430 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$482
7 days−$666
14 days−$666
30 days−$666
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $24 $25 +$2 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 45¢ 52¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 54¢ 48¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$13 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$12 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$50 +446%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$9 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$9 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$13 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$5 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$10 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$4 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$13 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$5 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$9 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$7 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$11 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$14 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$3 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$5 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$16 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$6 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$11 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$41 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$6 -44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$668
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $8 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $7 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $6 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $12 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $6 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 430 -11.2% -19.6% 41% 37% -16.1%
≤30d 430 -11.2% -19.6% 41% 37% -16.1%
≤90d 430 -11.2% -19.6% 41% 37% -16.1%
all 430 -11.2% -19.6% 41% 37% -16.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover353.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.6% 37% -16.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.3% 28% -24.1%
15% -34.3% 21% -31.4%
20% -40.8% 17% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.50 · official $40.18 · 3500 history records