Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:36:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
CA 0xcab2…6f5b crypto 1417 markets active 4d ago coverage 16d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 15d only
✗ bot/MM pace (159 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$125 (-1%) realized −$125 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate68%968W / 449L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day159.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$59
14 days−$154
30 days−$243
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$243
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (159 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 313 -2.0% -11.4% 77% 27% -11.4%
≤30d 1417 -2.1% -11.4% 68% 37% -11.4%
≤90d 1417 -2.1% -11.4% 68% 37% -11.4%
all 1417 -2.1% -11.4% 68% 37% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover159.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 37% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 18% -19.9%
15% -27.7% 14% -27.6%
20% -34.8% 10% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
38% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.39 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$125
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses968 / 449
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1417 / 1417
History coverage16d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day159.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1417 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$3 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$5 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$5 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$7 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$4 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records